BTN vs. BB SRP

You're actually more incentivized to XR top pair on a dry board. Would go mostly polar for a bigger sizing here, but with some mergy 6x and 9x.

Fold river, triple barrel is bad (especially after large flop?) and your blockers aren't actually good.

You could fold turn, there's a lot of factors going into whether you should call including their river tendencies.

Trying to wrap my head around this. Raising on a dry board means V will probably over fold. Is that the logic or is there more to it?

I’m talking about GTO, you’re intuition is correct that humans fold more to XR on dry flops.

Attributing logic to a computer program is hard but I’d say it’s because there’s less runouts where top pair becomes a bluff catcher.

If you lower the SPR so that the XR is a jam and turn/river is eliminated, top pair will jam a good amount on connected flops.

I think you play this hand well.

When building a raising range, we should start with the value in our range and then add bluffs.
Relying on the number of bluffs to determine value is not a sound strategy.

In theory, we tend to check/raise w Top Pairs on dry flops because turn and river runouts are less likely to reduce the equity of our hand than draw/dynamic boards.

If your opponent tends to overfold on dry flops, the first thing you should do is expand the bluffing part of your check/raise range.