10NL - what's my play on this draw-heavy flop?
villain is brand-new to the table. Only read I have is that he previously called from the BB with ATo and K7s.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $9.65
SB: $10.95
BB: $10.00
Hero (UTG): $10.10
MP: $12.94
CO: $10.29
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has K♣ J♣
Hero raises to $0.35, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.25
Flop: ($0.75, 2 players) 9♣ J♦ 7♦
BB checks, Hero bets $0.61, BB raises to $1.86, [color=red]Hero ...
5 Replies
Since you opened 3.5BB and then cbet 80% of the pot, there is quite some money in the middle already, which is not ideal.
With top pair good kicker, backdoor flush draw, backdoor straight draw we normally have a no brainer call on the flop: we can be ahead already and if not we can improve.
Proceed with caution though, at microstakes a lot of your opponents won't raise cbet unless they can beat top pair.
Easy call. Raising is bad so is folding.
We never have T8s, they might. Some players will have all 2p. We bet large and polar and villain said by all means please continue to increase the pot size. If we want a broad picture of how good we feel in this spot imagine a donkey on wheels trying to vomit into a bucket
edit: to be clear: agree this is winning bet/call but we are folding a lot of turns and basically hoping they shut down to realise our EV
Your sizing pre and on the flop threw off the hand as they are generally too large. As played, it's a call and evaluate turn. Why are you noting standard blind calls, except maybe not "standard" versus that open size which should mostly be 3bet or folding vs such a non-optimal sizing with GTOish ranges? You do have to continue w/ TP good K and backdoors without some extremely specific confident player specific read, but sizing again throws things off quite a bit from optimal, there's really not much "decision" involve beyond the fact that you generally don't want to fold TPGK, especially in a BvB situation in a 3Bet pot (4bet/F is the larger % play in these positions btw) to avoid exploitation.