3BP ; a bluff raise spot on the river
Hi! Villain is a tight reg.
[converted_hand][hand_history]PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
Hero (BB): $36.45 (145.8 bb)
UTG: $23.69 (94.8 bb)
CO: $28.10 (112.4 bb)
BTN: $25.66 (102.6 bb)
SB: $28.33 (113.3 bb)
SB posts $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has Q♠ 8♣
3 folds, SB raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $1.50
Flop: ($4.50, 2 players) 6♠ 7♦ 4♣
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($4.50, 2 players) 3♣
SB bets $2.15, Hero calls $2.15
River: ($8.80, 2 players) 9♣
SB bets $6.30, Hero raises to $32.05 and is all-in[/hand_history][/converted_hand]
I have 3 questions :
1. On the turn, I called because this hand is a good bluff on a lot of rivers if opponent checks, and that a 5 on the river is great, since villain is likely to call a big bet, hoping to split. What do you think? Are there other things to consider?
2. When I was reviewing the hand, I noticed that this opponent may be overbluffing (1) on the turn. I saw in a GTOw video the other day that a good way to counter very frequent probing would be to min-raise a lot (kind of forcing opponent to overfold). Do you agree? And if so, on the turn, would my hand be better off by min-raising, or would you still rather call (or fold)?
3. What do you think about river? Here I decided that villain didn't have much 5x and that 8c was a very good blocker.
Annex
1. Opponent turn probe
Spoiler
2 Replies
I really like it, villain is never bluffing with the 8♣, their line isn't that strong, it's BvB so wide ranges, and vs thinking opponents you rep a lot of rivered value
In practice people will bluff a lot with A♣ OOP so I like this better than A♣ shoves
1. On the turn, I called because this hand is a good bluff on a lot of rivers if opponent checks, and that a 5 on the river is great, since villain is likely to call a big bet, hoping to split. What do you think? Are there other things to consider?
2. When I was reviewing the hand, I noticed that this opponent may be overbluffing (1) on the turn. I saw in a GTOw video the other day that a good way to counter very frequent probing would be to min-raise a lot (kind of forcing opponent to overfold).
Yeah when they check river you'll have a really huge overfold (even vs solver)
Turn raise is a nice idea. The thing about flatting turn is that a solver would play rivers optimally with it's weakened range and would never overbluff or overfold to raises. Your opponents won't so I'd rather just let them **** up river.
Thank you for the reply! I had not think about any of those things 
It makes sense that villain gets on the river with a lot of Ac. And then, if indeed there aren't much straights in their range, their value region is tiny, and I assume it's easy to overbluff! I'll have to look at it more in depth!
Edit : Sort of convinces me not to min-raise turn with my hand, now that I think about it. River raise seems better EV if opponent is to mess up there. Not completely sure though!
