4bp facing x-b-b with overpair
11 Replies
omfg my entire reply got deleted, wrong button. im going to do highlight reel.
BB cold 4b is nitty AF.
if his Range is JJ+,AKs and A3-A5s we beat like 12 combos and lose to 17. like 40% winning.
thats making the assumption villain mixes wheels, i think without reads its easy fold but depends on hero range aswell. is this basically the best hand you can have on this river? whats your cold 4B flatting range look like with action behind? This also plays a factor.
Reads on BB? Timing?
Solver will always call but having a heart or not won't matter much in reality since AQhh is folding the majority of the time as BB here.
It's a 0EV spot and a super tight preflop configuration. Same concept as the last hand you posted, what does it mean when someone checks flop in a range bet spot but then show's aggression on later streets------>nutted---->we fold.
And again 21/21 is super nitty so that's another reason to fold.
The "can't have a better hand narrative" doesn't work because we are exploiting our opponent by folding.
Interested in results though.
In my experience, people who x the flop with a whiffed AK don't start barreling off on blanks, and this is almost always an overpair tarp or AK that hit a flush.
My guess is AhAx
thanks all for the replies
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agree with the sentiment that the line is nutted overall
hey i agree that when population is chechking in this kind of spots where they have a easy range bet it will be mostly AA with a hearth or some AK type hand.
I wanted to add something. I think we need to ask ourself how to we bring the ak hands into the worst spot i think by checking back we let him realise to much eq and villain will probably need to check jam some ak especially the one with khearth i guess.
If he dont find the check raises and he is slightly overfolding ak on the flop wich is likely to happen then stabing is the best play on flop.
I'd call and expect to see AK with a heart sometimes.
