Rivered TPGK facing river jam on wet board
So... villain is a complete unknown but has normal looking stats after like 10 hands. I actually like my line up until the river but with hindsight I'm thinking I should just x/c and give him a chance to bluff his missed draws. Value betting there is probably a bit too thin, but I was hoping to get called by Tx after every draw missed.
We're getting such good odds on this river call but is a random 10nl player ever bluffing here? And he's certainly not value jamming worse, so do we just sigh and fold?
PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Pokeit
UTG (Hero): $10.91 (109 bb)
MP: $15.93 (159 bb)
CO: $9.39 (94 bb)
BU: $10.51 (105 bb)
SB: $10.00 (100 bb)
BB: $21.48 (215 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with J♣ Q♣
Hero raises to $0.25, 2 players fold, BTN calls $0.25, 2 players fold
Flop: ($0.65) 7♠ T♣ 8♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.25, Hero raises to $0.95, BTN calls $0.70
Turn: ($2.55) 7♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $1.83, BTN calls $1.83
River: ($6.21) Q♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $2.97, BTN raises to $7.48 (all-in), Hero ?????????
4 Replies
> is a random 10nl player ever bluffing here?
No. In my experience at microstakes river raise = value almost always. In my pool at least I would consider calling only vs a good "reg".
I think your initial river bet is way too thin. I would much rather x/c or x/f. Based on his sizing.
Snap folding as played.
Not a big fan of the flop XR, just because your opponent has the big pot range advantage here. As played, river looks like a x/c vs x/f or b/c. Once your opponent raises to a sizing you're not supposed to fold to, after how you played the previous 3 streets, it's a fold.
Pretty easy fold.
