Nut FD vs overbet jam in 3bet pot
Villain is a 22/17 reg over 179 hands. He's called 3bet IP 2 out of 2 times over that sample. Other than that no reads or history.
I'm checking the turn with the intention of x/jamming over a stab, but what do we do when he just overbet shoves? Are any value hands taking this line? Maybe a set that's scared of the FDs & gutshots? It feels a lot more likely to me that he's doing this with his own draws, trying to get folds from mid PPs and ace highs. But if that's the case, we're ahead a lot of the time and only behind hands like A♣ J♣ or 6♣5♣. And no matter what he has, we have outs.
Is this ever a call?
PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Pokeit
UTG: $20.09 (201 bb)
MP: $12.98 (130 bb)
CO: $10.70 (107 bb)
BU: $24.23 (242 bb)
SB (Hero): $10.05 (101 bb)
BB: $11.41 (114 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with 9♦ A♦
3 players fold, BTN raises to $0.25, Hero 3-bets to $1.20, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.95
Flop: ($2.50) Q♦ 3♣ 2♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $1.20, BTN calls $1.20
Turn: ($4.90) 6♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $21.83 (all-in), Hero ???????
2 Replies
Nah.
It's not even a good spot if they're a whale cos of the merge factor. Not sure what correct turn play is tho. think I like using it as a DB rather than a x/r. Or x/c then jam any d.
Calling a jam seems like the worst of all developments so life jacket on and press eject.
I agree with ceres. Double Barrel seems good
Fold2Jam