[MICRO] [FASTFOLD] Fold here on river?

[MICRO] [FASTFOLD] Fold here on river?

Used to play a lot of live poker and did pretty well (1/2NL up to occasionally 2/5NL), but have always struggled online. Starting to get back into the game and now have kids so I can't spend all night at the casino, so I want to figure out online play for real.

Just ran into the following situation and wanted to get some feedback. Didn't have much data on Villain but over 36 hands he was VPIP 38/PFR 35/3Bet 22 so maybe showing signs of being a little splashy, but could have just been catching cards too of course.

This was my first hand actually trying to use a solver (GTO Wizard) and I think I'm kind of hooked. If I understood it correctly, it seemed to show my play being decent other than some bet sizing tweaks, but with it all leading up to basically a coin toss as to whether I should call or fold the all in on the river. Adjusted to the typical micros online pool, that should usually turn into a fold, no?

Any thoughts appreciated, tips at what to look at in GTO Wizard as I learn more there, anything you've got for me. Thanks!

Yatahay Network - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 120.4 BB (VPIP: 38.46, PFR: 34.62, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 26)
Hero (SB): 102.88 BB
BB: 98.2 BB
UTG: 220.72 BB (VPIP: 40.23, PFR: 24.14, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 88)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 29.17, PFR: 29.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.33, PFR: 12.24, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 99)

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A Q

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 6 BB, fold, BTN calls 4 BB

Flop: (13 BB, 2 players) A 6 6
Hero bets 4.8 BB, BTN calls 4.8 BB

Turn: (22.6 BB, 2 players) K
Hero bets 10 BB, BTN calls 10 BB

River: (42.6 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero bets 12 BB, BTN raises to 99.6 BB and is all-in, fold

BTN wins 63.28 BB

28 July 2024 at 12:45 PM
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by relevante k

with it all leading up to basically a coin toss as to whether I should call or fold the all in on the river. Adjusted to the typical micros online pool, that should usually turn into a fold, no?

OK, actually after spending a bunch more time with this hand in GTO Wizard, I think I misinterpreted a few things. It was a 50/50 choice to call/fold for my entire range on the river. For AhQh it wants a call basically always there. I have a hard time really wrapping my head around that in these games. Seems like the hands it's thinking are likely that I could beat are JcTc and JsTs, and some lower pocket pairs that turn into a bluff. I guess that's not out of the question here. Also it has KQ/AJ in there with relatively high frequency, but I feel like those are going to feel mid value and want to showdown cheaply, not jam the river.

My feeling was/is that in this game, if I called his jam, I was going to see a 6 a LOT of the time there, and if not, it was very often going to be some weird hand that decided to call the flop and backdoored a flush.

Of course, my online track record isn't great, so what I "feel" doesn't necessarily mean a lot.

Another thing I realize, that actually does make some sense to me I think, is that it likes me check/calling or check/jamming the turn the majority of the time. I guess the thinking there is that if I keep barreling I'm filtering his range to hands that are more likely to beat me, but if I check, I'm giving him the opportunity to bluff some chips off to me. Makes sense, but again, at $25NL, is this too fancy/passive?

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