i implore you to find one bluff here
Ignition - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: 187.36 BB
UTG: 102.72 BB
UTG+1: 105.64 BB
MP: 118.16 BB
MP+1: 18.08 BB
MP+2: 35.88 BB
CO: 29.4 BB
Hero (BTN): 108.96 BB
SB: 100 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♠ K♦
fold, fold, fold, fold, MP+2 calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, BB calls 3 BB, MP+2 calls 3 BB
Flop: (12.4 BB, 3 players) 8♣ 6♥ Q♦
BB bets 7.8 BB, fold, Hero calls 7.8 BB
Turn: (28 BB, 2 players) 7♦
BB bets 17.56 BB, Hero calls 17.56 BB
River: (63.12 BB, 2 players) J♠
BB bets 158 BB and is all-in, Hero?
Notes: Ugh, interesting node. Struggling to find bluffs here. raising flop facing donk 50% of time, but continued as flat here. p unfavorable runout as well. I'm leaning towards bluff-catching 2p+ and arguably Qx versus KK/AA. Thoughts?
9 Replies
what do you mean with rasing flop vs his donk 50% of the time ? you randomize it ? if yes i dont like it there is no reason to randomize vs a pretty unbalanced line.
Just ask good questions like does villain have enough weaker hands to call down if i get aggro ? So do i have enough eq to get it in vs his range and also important how much protection do i need.
I think here it is very likley to see villain overplaying his Qx here and very unlikly for him to donk out a set so i just raise flop and try to get the money in asap.
ye just trying to protect my calling range and think what my entire range wants to do I guess, not my specific hand. i.e. if we always raise AQ+, we have 0 nutted hands when we flat. but yeah, in hindsight, I like just fast playing vs a donk from a fish here
p.s. he had J10o wtff, sick bleff lol
Easy fold if you ask me. I think this is one of those spots where you'd rather have AQ.
ye agreed
ye just trying to protect my calling range and think what my entire range wants to do I guess, not my specific hand. i.e. if we always raise AQ+, we have 0 nutted hands when we flat. but yeah, in hindsight, I like just fast playing vs a donk from a fish here
p.s. he had J10o wtff, sick bleff lol
I think it is a big missconception that you need to be balanced. Villain is most likley a recreational when he takes this line . Our only thoughprocess should be evalutating what range he takes this line with and asking yourself wich option makes most sense with your current holding (not range !). You play your hand in a vaccum like this you maximise your ev not trying to play gto.
I think it is a big missconception that you need to be balanced. Villain is most likley a recreational when he takes this line . Our only thoughprocess should be evalutating what range he takes this line with and asking yourself wich option makes most sense with your current holding (not range !). You play your hand in a vaccum like this you maximise your ev not trying to play gto.
yeah, especially on ignition, just play your hand in a vacuum.
Smells like two pair or a set to me
Good catch. In retrospect you can see the polarisation getting progressively more ridiculous . He's telling us he has zero idea what's going on w/ ranges. That's usually the sign of a bad aggro fish. Profit say thy name