[MICRO] Too little fold equity?
I think this is a bit ambitious when he cbets into 3 people, but I have a hard time understanding what his range looks like when he half pots the turn? It just felt weak.
5NLz on Ignition
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2
Software
NL Holdem 0.05(BB)
HJ (162BBs) [VPIP: 100% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
CO (94BBs) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
BTN (155.2BBs) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
SB (345.6BBs) [VPIP: 100% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
HERO (675.2BBs) [VPIP: 26.2% | PFR: 20.6% | AGG: 36.9% | Hands: 51235]
UTG (90.6BBs) [VPIP: 100% | PFR: 100% | AGG: 100% | Hands: 1]
Dealt to Hero: K♦ Q♣
UTG Raises To 3BBs, HJ Calls 3BBs, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Calls 2.6BBs, HERO Calls 2BBs
Hero SPR on Flop: [7.3 effective]
Flop (12BBs): 8♦ A♣ K♣
SB Checks, HERO Checks, UTG Bets 5BBs (Rem. Stack: 82.6BBs), HJ Folds, SB Folds, HERO Calls 5BBs (Rem. Stack: 667.2BBs)
Turn (22BBs): 8♦ A♣ K♣ 5♣
HERO Checks, UTG Bets 11BBs (Rem. Stack: 71.6BBs), HERO Calls 11BBs (Rem. Stack: 656.2BBs)
River (44BBs): 8♦ A♣ K♣ 5♣ 3♠
HERO Checks, UTG Bets 31.4BBs (Rem. Stack: 40.2BBs), HERO Raises To 656.2BBs (allin), UTG Calls 40.2BBs (allin)
Spoiler
UTG shows: 9♣ T♣
UTG wins: 178BBs
7 Replies
I think you have the right idea. If he had blockbet the river, a jam would be pretty enticing. Against b75 he is basically saying he has 2p+, and it is very ambitious to think he will fold any of that to these odds.
Your raise at end is under half pot; what do you think beats you that folds to that small a raise?
He's uncapped/ we're capped + low spr = 0 FE. I'd thow some flushes in this line but only because he'll likely overcall his value range.
Not a good idea to be pulling big moves against an uncapped range on an A-high flop in general. Also just noticed V is shortstacked, another red flag.
Right thank you for the feedback. I think I underestimated the strength of his range and expected this size to be more mergey when in reality its kind of polar once he triples?
He's uncapped/ we're capped + low spr = 0 FE. I'd thow some flushes in this line but only because he'll likely overcall his value range.
Not a good idea to be pulling big moves against an uncapped range on an A-high flop in general. Also just noticed V is shortstacked, another red flag.
Does it look good when Hero raise in Flop ?
Fold flop. Consider squeeze pre.
edit: nvm I misread it I thought he bet 5 into 7... It's still close though but call is probably fine.
As played you have no fold equity because he's just gonna go lol pot odds with anything that's beating you and he also has a flush a lot after taking this line. He's also probably a fish so you should not be making big plays like this against him, he probably wouldn't fold an A if he'd bet it like that otr.
