AKo 3bet Pot BTNvsUTG
34/21 - 40 hands
[converted_hand][hand_history]IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $126.21 (252.4 bb)
BB: $36.39 (72.8 bb)
UTG: $193.35 (386.7 bb)
MP: $58.16 (116.3 bb)
CO: $51.50 (103 bb)
Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with A♣ K♥
UTG raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4.50, 2 folds, UTG calls $3
Flop: ($9.75) 8♠ Q♦ J♦ (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5.14, UTG calls $5.14
Turn: ($20.03) 7♥ (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
River: ($20.03) A♥ (2 players)
UTG bets $14,
10 Replies
I hardly find hands he may bluff on this river, now the question is, how many hands we beat now? Given his action i dont think hes betting anything less then 2 pair , maybe Aj, AQ, KJs but is unlikely. I would probably fold.
Flop smashes his UTG open/call3bet range.
I would be extremely careful. I'd even go for a check/call river, he may go for a thin value with KQ, or bluff with missed straight or diamonds.
Is there a way to put this into a solver?
im pure calling this with 0 reads but its definitely not printing. we might run into AJ, AQ and KT but we atleast block them all. he might have a low suited connector that missed the FD. he also could be bluffing TT, JT,89 etc... if i thought it was an opponent that never bluffs this spot then you can get away with folding. I dont expect to see any 88,JJ,QQ or T9s but expect to see rivered 2pair or straight which we block, or a bluff
I call and he have AJ. Seeing today I like the fold River
This is a zero call in a balanced strategy.
I believe that in a real game, it is even closer to folding because there is even less pool bluffing.
would be illustrative to see what OOP is supposed to be bluffing. Should show how -EV calling would be here if they don't find the random bluffs solver shows up with.
I would check flop. If you are going to bet this sizing seems wrong, probably something like 1/3 or 1/4 is enough.
River looks like a call. We block bunch of value, he could value bet same hand and most players can bluff with 89s 99/TT on this runout.