Opponent weak on flop
First of all, is Hero calling CO open sus, or does well against their range? Regarding flop: Player seemed reggish by stats though sample size small. In any case, to me it seems Villain should virtually always be c-betting on this pretty dry flop, so the check seemed weak; paired with what seems to be a pattern of players at this stake being fit or fold, is my probe bet sensible? The alternative polar end is VIllain is slowplaying trips or better but this is relatively rare. Appreciate the feedback!
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 85 BB
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 27.27, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
BB: 233.5 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 10)
UTG: 259.5 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
MP: 50.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
CO: 117 BB (VPIP: 27.78, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 19)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♣ T♦
fold, fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) Q♦ 7♥ 7♦
CO checks, Hero bets 4.5 BB, fold
Hero wins 6.5 BB
3 Replies
People are gonna keep telling you this so I guess i'll start. Buy in full 100bb and use auto top up feature. Since you're here you should be, or hopefully soon will be better than most of your opponents, so you want to be as deep as possible to extract max value from your hands.
Second, yeah flatting in general even IP isn't very profitable. You might excuse it with this hand if BB is a mega whale or something but other than that I'd just fold, and may occasionally 3 bet it. If the blinds 3bet any decent frequency it becomes even worse to flat.
As played I think either stabbing or checking is fine. But remember that when a preflop raiser checks to you on a board you would expect them to cbet a lot of air, it's not usually to check/fold.
This is not a probe bet btw, a probe bet is just another word for donk bet and you can only do that OOP
Well played, playing oop vs ip cold callers is super hard, put pressure on them (personally I just 3bet/fold, but I reckon playing oop vs btn flat is hard)
Auto-top up, as mentioned earlier.
We have to bet this flop. He's giving up or slowplaying. EIther way, he's rarely check-calling. If he calls, we're not in any trouble on many turns and the bet probably buys a free river when he does call.
