Is the river a mandatory bluff at micro stakes?

Is the river a mandatory bluff at micro stakes?

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2

Software

NL Holdem 0.05(BB)
HERO ($7.32) [VPIP: 26.4% | PFR: 18.6% | AGG: 36.2% | Flop Agg: 41.7% | Turn Agg: 38.2% | River Agg: 27% | 3Bet: 8.3% | Fold to 3Bet: 45.6% | 4Bet: 5.4% | Hands: 76370]
CO ($6.02) [VPIP: 31.7% | PFR: 24.4% | AGG: 52.6% | Hands: 42]
BTN ($5.48) [VPIP: 32.9% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 30.4% | Flop Agg: 27.3% | Turn Agg: 42.9% | River Agg: 20% | 3Bet: 7.1% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 73]
SB ($5.61) [VPIP: 37.7% | PFR: 31.1% | AGG: 44.4% | Hands: 64]

Dealt to Hero: A Q

CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.13, SB Folds, HERO Raises To $0.36, BTN Calls $0.23

Hero SPR on Flop: [6.92 effective]
Flop ($0.74): 3 5 5
HERO Bets $0.31 (Rem. Stack: $6.65), BTN Calls $0.31 (Rem. Stack: $4.81)

Turn ($1.36): 3 5 5 9
HERO Bets $1.03 (Rem. Stack: $5.62), BTN Calls $1.03 (Rem. Stack: $3.78)

River ($3.42): 3 5 5 9 3
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $3.78 (allin), HERO Folds

Spoiler
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BTN wins: $3.25

30 August 2024 at 11:23 AM
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5 Replies



Yep, seems like it.

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I think we need to be careful about barreling turn too much. It's a much better card for IP.

OTF they fold out a lot of their broadway flush range that doesn't connect so they have a slight flush advantage that we can't really exploit. For some reason solver prefers having the K > A to bluff turn and river for reasons that allude me.


Ah, OTT I think it's because we can XC and realise our eq, whereas K combos are more like x/instafolds, so make better punts


by Ceres k

Ah, OTT I think it's because we can XC and realise our eq, whereas K: combos are more like x/instafolds, so make better punts

Correct, but the solver also assumes a smaller cbet size by Hero.

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PF sizing not good
Post ok, you dont have to bluff every blocker.

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