AA in 4-bet pot, turn spot
Villain was 35/16 after 30 hands or so, no other reads. I'm pretty much always checking this wet flop, but is this wrong? It's looking like stacks are going in on the river if I call the turn. JJ, 88, QJ are all in his range, maybe T9s too, I'm assuming he shoves QQ pre. I'm ahead of AQ (which I block obv), draws and air. What to do?
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB (Villain): 237 BB
BB: 114.4 BB
UTG: 106.7 BB
CO: 269.4 BB
Hero (BTN): 106.9 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ A♥
fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, SB raises to 9 BB, fold, Hero raises to 32.5 BB, SB calls 23.5 BB
Flop: (66 BB, 2 players) J♠ 8♠ Q♣
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (66 BB, 2 players) 5♣
SB bets 31.4 BB, Hero ???
3 Replies
Why this super huge 4bet size preflop? Anyway, it worked since you got called!
You have 1/3 of your stack in the pot and an overpair, you are not going anywhere. The way you write your post, it seems you try to find a reason for giving up. If villain called 33BB preflop and happened to be lucky enough to crack your aces, good for him. But more often than not you are still very ahead, and anyway even if they get your stack everything they make a better hand their preflop call is still losing on the long run.
Once it's established you are going nowhere, I would just bet flop. I think sticking it in and let them decide what they want to do with spades, AJ, AQ... is not too bad, but it's a little bit too easy for villain to escape wheb he has TT, 99, KhTh. So I would just bet 20BB and put the rest in on the turn.
As played shove turn, there are 2 flush draws out there and you have none of the matching Ace.
but on the long run just bet flop. I think I would just shove it and let him decide what he wants to do with AQ, AJ, spades etc... Anyway y
I dont really think sb is calling a 4b oop with a lot of hands. Theoretically, the only sets he should have is 88 - QQ and JJ should shove 100% of the time. Very small frequency w QJs, some frequency w T9s. Looks like most of his theoretical calling range is AJs, ATs, KQs, KTs, 66-99. Realistically, i think its mostly suited broadway aces, maybe JJ and TT if hes afraid to shove them pre.
I think i bet small flop (like 15-18 bb) and shove turn. As played, i still shove turn. We cant be afraid of monsters under the bed and stabbing into a range that checks back the flop is too lucrative to only be value.
AA = good hand