NL10 - flopped NUTS faces doubled board on the river
Villain: 19/12, hands: 1200
On the flop I thought that villain might have a flushdraw or 2 pairs. Villain still might have sets but I think they would 3bet or JAM vs my reraise?
Should I check behind or bet/call or bet/fold?
Also after the hand I thought I should bet turn bigger 1/2 or 3/4? Or is 1/3 ever good here? In the hand I thought 1/3 is good because then I have pot sized bet left for a river shove
SB: $15.61 (156.1 bb)
BB: $9.90 (99 bb)
UTG+1: $10 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $10 (100 bb)
MP1: $10 (100 bb)
MP2: $10 (100 bb)
MP3: $15.57 (155.7 bb)
Hero (CO): $33.34 (333.4 bb)
BTN: $12.41 (124.1 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with K
Q
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.30, MP3 folds, Hero calls $0.30, 3 folds
Flop: ($0.93) A
J
T
(2 players)
MP2 bets $0.68, Hero raises to $2, MP2 calls $1.32
Turn: ($4.93) 2
(2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $1.55, MP2 calls $1.55
River: ($8.03) J
(2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero?
6 Replies
I don't like check on river because with the line as played I think most of the time we are good here. I think a small bet (20-33%)/ fold to ai makes sense to me but it does seem very close.
-I think we want to got very polar on the turn with a large size. (Pot or bigger).
I don't like the call pre-flop. I think we should 3-bet/fold everything (3-bet in this case when we aren't on the button.
As played. I would still bet the river. (Half pot) Still value to be had from Ak, Aq (maybe even a smaller ace).
And probably fold to a jam.
Pre I typically 3bet or fold vs 3x, but I can make an exception the opener is very tight and there are deep stacked weaker players in the blinds. At these stakes it is unlikely there are players squeezing enough to punish the flat also.
As above said go larger on the turn - we are betting hands that want to get stacks in, and opponents range has a lot of hands strong enough to call again, but too weak to 3bet the flop (AK/AQ/AJ/AT).
As played I would bet/fold the river for a smaller size.
Just 3bet pre
Turn you can go a bit bigger but not a huge deal. River clear check. Ax wont pay you Jx is very unlikely
I wonder if we can bet 150% on the turn here?
Thank you guys for feedback. Sometimes I have trouble 3betting or Squeezing pretty hands like these but apparently I think I should do it more. Also I agree, I should have bet more on the turn. My thinking process was "I have this hand locked to the nuts and villain shouldnt have much flush draws so I lure him by betting small and induce possible check/raises" But then the river hit LOL!
On the river I thought about betting for small value but then I thought that I think only better will call or JAM. Not sure if villain would have called his counterfeited 2 pair here anymore
SB: $15.61 (156.1 bb)
BB: $9.90 (99 bb)
UTG+1: $10 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $10 (100 bb)
MP1: $10 (100 bb)
MP2: $10 (100 bb)
MP3: $15.57 (155.7 bb)
Hero (CO): $33.34 (333.4 bb)
BTN: $12.41 (124.1 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with K
Q
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.30, MP3 folds, Hero calls $0.30, 3 folds
Flop: ($0.93) A
J
T
(2 players)
MP2 bets $0.68, Hero raises to $2, MP2 calls $1.32
Turn: ($4.93) 2
(2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $1.55, MP2 calls $1.55
River: ($8.03) J
(2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero checks
Results: $8.03 pot ($0.40 rake)
Final Board: A
J
T
2
J
MP2 showed T
A
and lost (-$3.87 net)
Hero showed K
Q
and won $7.63 ($3.76 net)
