A fish jammed a river today..
Pretty annoying figuring out what the fish is valuing here. What's the play?
BTN: 151.2 BB
SB: 311 BB
BB: 143.6 BB
Hero (UTG): 141.4 BB
MP: 97 BB
CO: 103.8 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 8♥ 9♥
Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB
Flop: (11.4 BB, 2 players) A♣ T♥ 8♦
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: (11.4 BB, 2 players) 8♠
Hero bets 7.4 BB, BTN calls 7.4 BB
River: (26.2 BB, 2 players) 5♣
Hero bets 18 BB, BTN raises to 138.8 BB and is all-in, hero?
8 Replies
Fold this is going to be AA/TT a lot.
Interested in results.
Dry flop and overall board combined w/getting awful river odds = fold. Agreeing with DooDoo, a fold is mandatory here. Likely villain has AA or TT
Thanks. yes I also folded so no big reveal sadly. Was worried about overnitting.
I agree it's a fold, given what we know about pool not overbet bluffing river.
But- given how fishy this guy appears (size of 3 bet pre) I would be unsurprised if he has AK to AJ.
Which definitely would be annoying.
Maybe too strong to fold vs a fish especially considering the min3b signals they could be going the extra mile in the clueless spew department. Spot is definitely incredibly bad for you if you had something like AQ. They'll have AT, AK, or 86o a considerable amount of the time but also a lot of AA
I would definitely overbet river, which would make folding pretty easy if they jam. Usually when I feel 0EVed vs fish in these type of spots I find I should've played the hand differently
I'm overbetting the river for sure. Maybe the turn too because Ax seems to show up incredibly often after the min 3b and you can overbet 2 streets. I think the river is a fold and I can't give a fish credit for bluffing enough here.
I do need to think in more overbetty terms sometimes