2 River Check-Raise Bluffs
Hand #1 ATo
GG Poker - $0.05 Ante $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP+1: 200 BB
MP+2: 208.6 BB
CO: 429 BB
BTN: 268.4 BB
SB: 200 BB
Hero (BB): 200 BB
UTG: 218.8 BB
UTG+1: 80 BB
MP: 228.4 BB
9 players post ante of 0.4 BB, SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 5 BB) Hero has T♥ A♦
fold, fold, MP raises to 3.6 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2.6 BB
Flop: (11.2 BB, 2 players) T♣ 6♣ K♥
Hero checks, MP bets 6.2 BB, Hero calls 6.2 BB
Turn: (23.6 BB, 2 players) Q♠
Hero checks, MP checks
River: (23.6 BB, 2 players) 2♦
Hero checks, MP bets 18.8 BB, Hero raises to 56 BB
Villain plays 24-13 after 140h and I think he is relatively passive. He probably almost always plays strong hands fast - for example, I have the following hand of him: Openraise KK, triple cbet on KJ4ssXX with topset. That would be a hand that you could also play slow.
So on the river I don't give him a straight and no set, at most QT. Otherwise, his top range contains AA, AK, KJ, K9s and maybe AQ. On the other hand, I have good blockers and my check-raise represents 2Pair+. What do you think about raisesize? I wanted to make the bluff as cheap as possible and I think that the calling/folding here is relatively inelastic. In theory, my AJ combos might want to get the whole stack in the middle, but then the bluff will be correspondingly expensive.
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Hand #2 JTo
GG Poker - $0.05 Ante $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 79.6 BB
BTN: 212.4 BB
SB: 193.6 BB
BB: 255 BB
UTG: 193.2 BB
UTG+1: 236.8 BB
Hero (MP): 200 BB
MP+1: 314 BB
MP+2: 637.4 BB
9 players post ante of 0.4 BB, SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 5 BB) Hero has T♣ J♠
fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (13 BB, 2 players) 2♣ K♥ Q♠
Hero bets 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB
Turn: (21 BB, 2 players) 5♠
Hero bets 16.8 BB, BTN calls 16.8 BB
River: (54.6 BB, 2 players) T♥
Hero checks, BTN bets 27.4 BB, Hero raises to 115.2 BB
Villain is unknown. Do I have enough FE here? Bottom valuerange with villain is probably KJ, which will certainly fold, but that's probably not enough. What do you think?
3 Replies
Hand one: dunno. Probably better vs a reg but bad vs a fish, who won't fold enough pairs. We probably outperform by bluffcatching this spot > outbluffing.
Hand two: seems bad. They called 4x open and their range is mergey/undefined. More overcall danger again.
Using these kind of x/c hands as bluff x/r hands when river doesn't go x/x is a good idea. It's also easy to overdo vs fish who a)have shown strength and thus b) can't fold. Now our straight/set blockers start to grow moot compared to the EV we're torching vs stations.
H1
Not sure if this is call pf, in normal forma it won't be maybe with ante it is. River okish, him being tight passive works against us because he won't bluff or bet too thin for value.
I dont like hand 2. The story doesnt make sense to me - what are you representing with bet bet and then xr river? What calls you for two streets, bets and then folds?
