NL 5 - Top set

NL 5 - Top set

Is there anyway we can flop here?

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 208 BB
BB: 100 BB
Hero (UTG): 101.4 BB
CO: 92.4 BB
BTN: 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A A

Hero raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (7.4 BB, 2 players) J A Q
Hero bets 4 BB, CO calls 4 BB

Turn: (15.4 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero bets 10 BB, CO calls 10 BB

River: (35.4 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero bets 16 BB, CO raises to 75.4 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 59.4 BB

CO shows K T (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 17%, Flop 65%, Turn 77%)
Hero shows A A (Three of a Kind, Aces)
(Pre 83%, Flop 35%, Turn 23%)
CO wins 176.8 BB

) 1 View 1
19 November 2024 at 05:49 AM
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5 Replies



I would bet bigger 2/3+ on river, otherwise seems fine.


I’d xr flop blocking a lot of the recs 2 pair and top pair type holdings instead of bet but as played I would bet turn bigger and river bigger as well.


I think OTF both betting and xR are fine, but I think I do prefer betting as he's probably going to have a decent amount of pair + draws that will call a bet but just x back vs a check. I'd also bet bigger on the river. I don't think we can fold here against a rec (unless he's the really passive type), but vs a reg (which this hand would probably not exist against) especially a tight one I think our hand kinda becomes a bluffcatcher in a very underbluffed spot so I'd actually consider folding. With recs tho there's always the weird spazz/ overplay factor so if he has it just give him his $$$


I think you can fold the river as played. Super underbluffed board/runout and the fish is uncapped.

It’s unlikely that anyone ever takes this line with any 2p or sets because they would have already raised those on flop or turn, so you don’t beat any value. There are also no bluffs here because there is virtually no air left after the bets from earlier streets and they aren’t going to jam KQ or KJ or whatever that has SDV.


Bet river a little bigger. Fold to the raise. Almost nobody is calling two streets and then bluff shoving on this kind of board. Hence, there's likely no way they are over valuing their hand, and you can safely fold.

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