KQs 3bet Pot vs RegNIT
10k Hands . 20/16/8 WWSF 44%
Cbet 3bet Pots 77% W$SD 63
iPoker - €0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: 66.38 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
UTG: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 22.93, PFR: 21.14, 3Bet Preflop: 14.61, Hands: 15,738)
Hero (CO): 100 BB
BTN: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 31.04, PFR: 24.55, 3Bet Preflop: 10.33, Hands: 31,074)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.18, PFR: 16.49, 3Bet Preflop: 7.75, Hands: 10,003)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♥ K♥
fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, SB raises to 11 BB, fold, Hero calls 8.5 BB
Flop: (23 BB, 2 players) 6♣ K♣ K♦
SB bets 7.6 BB, Hero calls 7.6 BB
Turn: (38.2 BB, 2 players) A♦
SB bets 28.64 BB, [color=red][b]Hero
Vs any player i will push happy OTT ... Vs this NIT i think he can have KJs too and maybe KTs ?
5 Replies
100bbs vs a nit that likely won't bluff river, I prefer a shove OTT to get value from those draws.
I don't think your idea of a fold is that far off. Its BB vs CO and his 3bet % is low over a large sample. Players like this are unlikely to find any of the polar BB 3bets, and the hands that make draws on this board will mostly be flatted pre. Ac hands are limited in combos also and likely to check some % too. The only suited K combos are KJs/KTs which I doubt he 3bets pure.
In practice I would need a very strong read to make the fold, so the question is how often is he 3betting KJo, and how often is he 3betting QJs/JTs (and following through with some of the non combo draws). SB vs BTN obviously we would get more standard FDs but I never see many SC's from nits here.
As far as playing for stacks, I prefer turn shove as most players are not bluff shoving the river, especially after you call the large turn bet.
I don't think your idea of a fold is that far off. Its BB vs CO and his 3bet % is low over a large sample. Players like this are unlikely to find any of the polar BB 3bets, and the hands that make draws on this board will mostly be flatted pre. Ac hands are limited in combos also and likely to check some % too. The only suited K combos are KJs/KTs which I doubt he 3bets pure.
In practice I would need a very strong read to make the fold, so the question is how often is he 3betting KJo, and how oft
Thanks ! Is SBvsCO BTW ... I push turn .. Obv he have AK but i think is a good push , is super hard to fold here and vs a more nit guy maybe the fold is okey , but vs this guy i think the push ott is okey?
Oh yeah, I started typing and had it in my head that it was BB haha.
Yeah definitely, he doesn't look absurdly nitty + from the SB he should have more of those broadway draws and weaker Kx combos