Calling Donk River Flush Completing
Hey amigos!
Here what I think is an interesting hand, I'd like to get some constructive insights 😃
PokerStars - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
SB: 110.1 BB (VPIP: 22.11, PFR: 17.89, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 99)
BB: 114.5 BB (VPIP: 24.39, PFR: 20.73, 3Bet Preflop: 3.45, Hands: 88)
UTG: 172 BB (VPIP: 33.75, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 13.33, Hands: 81)
CO: 38.9 BB (VPIP: 36.36, PFR: 29.55, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 45)
Hero (BTN): 173 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has As Qd
fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, SB raises to 11 BB, fold, Hero raises to 22 BB, SB calls 11 BB
Flop : (45 BB, 2 players) Qh Ac 8s
SB checks, Hero bets 10 BB, SB calls 10 BB
Turn : (65 BB, 2 players) 9c
SB checks, Hero bets 15 BB, SB calls 15 BB
River : (95 BB, 2 players) 6c
SB bets 63.1 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 63.1 BB
SB shows Tc Kc (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 42%, Flop 19%, Turn 25%)
Hero shows As Qd (Two Pair, Aces and Queens)
(Pre 58%, Flop 81%, Turn 75%)
SB wins 211.7 BB
GTO says is quite +EV calling this donk, but at the micros players donk rivers completing draws vs recreationals and defo underbluff this spots, and I wonder if this call is actually -EV NL25 and lower, or maybe is just marginal??
What are you thoughts?
Thank you!
3 Replies
xc-xc-donk is the strongest donk line and FCR is a bad data point.
The Ace being a ♣ is good since it blocks a lot of flushes but it’s still very underbluffed.
Small Blinds preflop calling range is built around AQ/pocket pairs/suited hands. It will be hard for an average 10NL player to find bluffs here so we can overfold.
Yeah I do think we can find a nitty fold here. They might just do that with JT as well as flushes, hard to find enough bluffs to complement that once he calls a 2brl OOP in a 4bet pot
What flushes does OOP have tho?
Solver thinks they donk shove KQcc exclusively and still calls AQo. I don't think we can fold
