NL5 - Trips with a flush on board
PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hero (SB): 102.6 BB
BB: 100 BB
UTG: 122.2 BB
CO: 132.6 BB
BTN: 101.4 BB
Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♥ 6♠
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB
Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) A♠ 9♠ K♦
Hero bets 4 BB, BB calls 4 BB
Turn: (14 BB, 2 players) 4♠
Hero checks, BB checks
River: (14 BB, 2 players) A♦
Hero bets 8 BB, BB raises to 24 BB, ???
I was the first hand of this player.
What is the right play here?
Call or fold?
3 Replies
I’d probably cbet the turn- triple block is fine.
As played I don’t think you can fold really- you could consider turning this into a 3bj against some players but usually I advise against those kind of lines as they’re dicey in general.
If he got you beat he got you beat; you have to call 16BB in a pot of 46BB and your removal is relevant so pay and see.
5nl, I'm leaning slightly fold, but super close. Just don't think someone at these stakes is turning 9x or Kx often enough into a bluff... maybe 9x. And if it was something like TJ/QT kind of hand, think they are betting the turn. So you're either splitting, losing, or picking off a bluff.
I'd probably flip a coin really.
Not a great spot but you can call since it’s overbluffed a bit.
We know from MDA that they over stab turn (flush complete turn is pretty neutral overall) so some gutshots will bet turn here.
But it’s good we unblock the gutshots to give our opponent more bluffs in his range.
I expect it to be some sort of missed gutshot with a spade often enough to call.
It’s also possible your opponent is a fish and in that case fish raise merged so you can split with value here.