did I overplayed AA?
[converted_hand][hand_history]PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
CO: $32.16 (128.6 bb)
BTN: $40.50 (162 bb)
SB: $25.39 (101.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $25.00 (100 bb)
UTG: $38.93 (155.7 bb)
MP: $47.44 (189.8 bb)
SB posts $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A♣ A♦
UTG raises to $0.85, 4 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, UTG calls $1.65
Flop: ($5.10, 2 players) T♥ 8♦ 9♦
Hero bets $3.00, UTG calls $3.00
Turn: ($11.10, 2 players) 8♥
Hero bets $5.75, UTG calls $5.75
River: ($22.60, 2 players) K♠
Hero bets $13.75 and is all-in, UTG calls $13.75
Results: $50.10 pot ($2.00 rake)
Final Board: T♥ 8♦ 9♦ 8♥ K♠
Hero shows A♣ A♦: (Two Pair, Aces and Eights)
(Pre 81%, Flop 14%, Turn 5%)
UTG shows T♠ T♣: (Full House, Tens full of Eights)
(Pre 19%, Flop 86%, Turn 95%)
UTG wins $48.10
[/hand_history][/converted_hand]
7 Replies
no its fine
Villain can have all the sets (besides KK if we think he always 4-bets those)
KT, QJs and KTs.
What hands that we beat do we expect to call our all-in on the river?
I can't really think of any.
It's a terrible flop for our hand but our opponent should have alot of bluffs here. Flush/straigth draws. And maybe some value that we beat (JJ, QQ, ATs)
So we're check calling imo. Try to keep the pot small. But I don't think we're calling of three streets with our whole stack.
(It's also not good we hace the ace of diamonds because we block some of their bluffs)
Probably close enough. KT can't fold now . The issue is that KQd and KJ can probably just exploit fold river although I don't know if people find that. Check folding sucks but probably just highest EV.
Actually I think this spot is brutal and all 3 options have some merit. Some questions.
Do people find the fold with KQ/KJ vs jam? I think they can exploit fold but idk if people do or not once they peel to streets and then hit top pair. Imo pretty easy fold with KQ though so if you're vs a good reg I don't really like jamming.
Do people have 56d/67d here? My guess is yes l. You're line is probably super value heavy but it doesn't seem like that much of a punt to get that in on earlier streets. Doesn't need that much fold equity but guess it sucks when it gets it in vs better diamonds but in my experience this line is overpair heavy so probably just ripping turn is good. Hard to know i think
Last thing is are people turning JT/JJ/77 into a bluff on the river? My guess is again yes but I could be way off. I'd the answer to both of those is yes then I like check calling but I'd be skeptical.
Tbh I think check fold will just be highest EV but if you think either people find those bluffs or always call KJ/KQ then I don't mind jam. Really really sucks to check fold vs KT but I don't know. Tough spot
Pre is too small, flop is too big, turn is too small. Other than that it’s fine. Can also xjam the turn.
Pretty much what the guy above me said ,with the exception that flop can go into range check esp when we have Ad.
The worst flop pretty much we can get as BB.
It's not wild to assume you don't 3bet extremely wide vs UTG and you don't have much on that flop if anything.
anyway as played we should really be x/jaming turn or betting big this small bet is giving him too many options to continue with very high equity hands.
Aces aren't strong enough to bet 3 Street oop on that board
