3bet pot IP looking at two tone board, turn decision
PokerStars - €0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BURIO248 (BTN): 95.5 BB (VPIP: 0.97, PFR: 0.07, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4,195)
Mazzingher (SB): 207.5 BB (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 42)
Dannie41 (BB): 100 BB
g1ann1no (UTG): 140 BB (VPIP: 21.68, PFR: 18.62, 3Bet Preflop: 7.96, Hands: 404)
Vecissitude (MP): 103 BB
OMGWOLFX (CO): 195 BB (VPIP: 32.65, PFR: 24.49, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 49)
Mazzingher posts SB 0.5 BB, Dannie41 posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Vecissitude has J♣ A♣
fold, Vecissitude raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Mazzingher raises to 11 BB, fold, Vecissitude calls 8 BB
Flop: (23 BB, 2 players) 4♠ A♥ Q♥
Mazzingher bets 17 BB, Vecissitude calls 17 BB
Turn: (57 BB, 2 players) 6♠
Mazzingher checks, Vecissitude checks
River: (57 BB, 2 players) 2♦
Mazzingher bets 179.5 BB and is all-in, Vecissitude calls 75 BB and is all-in
So I was a bit lost on how to play this, pre flop I remember that AQs is a flat 100% of the time, so I decided to to it with AJs as well although chart says should 4bet at some frequency.
Anyway turn is standard, I think he stabs all flush draws, and some middling pairs and continues most As. So not thrilled but continue for at least one street.
Turn facing a check is where I have decision.
I think most of the pool would bet to try and deny equity, but realistically he is never folding unless it's a shove, and he is continuing with all his Aces I imagine so I think checking often is a good play here. By doing so with a lot of middling aces I ensure I have some hands I can call safely on river. I have some AKo that I think it's worth to shove along with some AQ and KQ.
But mostly at these stakes I think a lot of players with Vs stats are trying to get fancy on river but I don't really know. What your strategy on this turn with your range?
2 Replies
Flop in theory is b33 for Oop if we faced this on turn I'm probably just mixing bet/check 25/75 and using b75 as my size.
As played I would probably just shift into pure check on turn.
River would be very villain dependant it can easily be a pure call or pure fold; as a default with no reads I'm going to lean towards pure fold as I believe my population would underbluff this node.
But can't be that bad either way, nice catch tag V as aggro fish
We could bet small ott to induce. Story doesn't make a lot of sense because they switched from value town to weakness/trapness on a brick. Much happier calling a x/shove when they are unbalanced
AP river i'd tend towards fold minus read in these positions