[NL10] Does X/C river has higher EV?
I guess I should have been betting bigger on the flop and turn to make it more natural for all in on the river, that is one thing.
And I am wondering if bet otr is always higher EV game? Does it make sense to X/C sometimes? Here I am thinking to make missed draws to bluff but my assumption is that it won't be enough of such combos in his range to justify checking...
I guess we anyway loose here to any boats he might have one way or another.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 56.6 BB (VPIP: 40.82, PFR: 10.20, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 49)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 21.33, PFR: 16.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 76)
BTN: 75.2 BB (VPIP: 37.74, PFR: 13.21, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 55)
SB: 9.5 BB (VPIP: 28.17, PFR: 14.08, 3Bet Preflop: 8.00, Hands: 145)
Hero (BB): 199 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♥ K♥
fold, fold, BTN calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, BTN calls 3 BB
Flop: (8.5 BB, 2 players) A♠ T♣ J♠
Hero bets 5.4 BB, BTN calls 5.4 BB
Turn: (19.3 BB, 2 players) J♣
Hero bets 12.2 BB, BTN calls 12.2 BB
River: (43.7 BB, 2 players) 5♦
Hero - ?
4 Replies
I would just jam at this point against a fish. He can call with any A, J, even a T or random stuff because he doesn't believe you.
I would iso bigger preflop ~6-8bb depending on how wide he limp/calls. And imo checking would be pretty bad as your hoping for him to bet Ax. I would (as AskZander) also go all-in OTR.
Jam river -- I would consider checking with AA and AJ, since these block villains calls and it's more likely that he holds a busted draw that he could bluff on the river.
Versus a recreational player we can value bet wider, so in this case just bet turn and jam river.
Preflop can also be a little bigger
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