AA 3bet Pot vs 20/15
63 Hands . 20/15
Winamax - €0.50 NL (5 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (SB): 100 BB
BB: 105.04 BB (VPIP: 26.15, PFR: 21.30, 3Bet Preflop: 12.08, Hands: 1,936)
UTG: 280.24 BB (VPIP: 20.34, PFR: 15.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 63)
CO: 108.8 BB (VPIP: 25.67, PFR: 22.98, 3Bet Preflop: 8.82, Hands: 427)
BTN: 123.74 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ A♣
UTG raises to 2.5 BB, fold, BTN calls 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 15 BB, fold, UTG calls 12.5 BB, fold
Flop: (33.5 BB, 2 players) 8♠ J♣ 6♠
Hero bets 19.5 BB, UTG raises to 39 BB, [color=red][b]Hero
7 Replies
What a bad spot...
They don't open much 9sTs from UTG.
They flat almost all their pps facing the squeeze, because they love to setmine.
They can have QQ also, I doubt they go all-in preflop with it very often. But do they really raise it on the flop when you bomb it like that? I'm not too sure
If they play QQ like that you have to go with it because of money in the pot.
Board: 8sJc6s
Equity Win Tie
MP2 40.36% 40.36% 0.00% { AdAh }
MP3 59.64% 59.64% 0.00% { QQ-JJ, 88, 66 }
What a bad spot...
They don't open much 9sTs from UTG.
They flat almost all their pps facing the squeeze, because they love to setmine.
They can have QQ also, I doubt they go all-in preflop with it very often. But do they really raise it on the flop when you bomb it like that? I'm not too sure
If they play QQ like that you have to go with it because of money in the pot.
Board: 8sJc6s
Equity Win Tie
MP2 40.36% 40.36% 0.00% { AdAh }
MP3 59.64% 59.64% 0.00% { QQ-JJ, 88, 66 }
Really is MP because is 5max. QQ maybe he can have it but maybe at 50%? , sets yes have all. Then I think he can have KQss/AQss/AJss... So best to only call to see if the turn is a brick and can go to the SD? I think that push here is not very ev+
I think the flush draws never minraise, they call or (mostly) shove.

it's breakeven equity vs his call to 3b range from utg, making the grand assumption he is raising all his FD+SDs and TP+FD and sets.
It's obviously player dependant. vs these stats, he seems quite nitty so I would lean towards fold, but vs population I would say jam/call and jam non spade turns W/O the As and fold w/ the As
Jam?
Your flop bet size doesn't make a lot of sense, and raising the flop with a set also doesn't make a lot of sense.