Was I out of line pre?
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software
NL Holdem 0.05(BB)
HERO ($6.78) [VPIP: 25.8% | PFR: 18.3% | AGG: 36.6% | Flop Agg: 42% | 3Bet: 7.8% | Fold to 3Bet: 44.7% | 4Bet: 5.7% | Hands: 88520]
UTG ($4.98) [VPIP: 27% | PFR: 18.9% | AGG: 42.1% | Hands: 39]
HJ ($5.74) [VPIP: 20.8% | PFR: 20.8% | AGG: 46.7% | Hands: 49]
CO ($3.33) [VPIP: 16.7% | PFR: 10.4% | AGG: 33.3% | Hands: 49]
BTN ($4.91) [VPIP: 37.5% | PFR: 22.9% | AGG: 50% | Flop Agg: 46.2% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 49]
SB ($14.36) [VPIP: 24.4% | PFR: 12.2% | AGG: 31.3% | Hands: 42]
Dealt to Hero: A♥ 7♠
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.15, SB Calls $0.13, HERO Raises To $0.45, BTN Calls $0.30, SB Folds
Hero SPR on Flop: [4.25 effective]
Flop ($1.05): 6♠ T♣ 7♣
HERO Bets $0.65 (Rem. Stack: $5.68), BTN Raises To $2.95 (Rem. Stack: $1.51), HERO Folds
Notes:
- Rethinking my sizing on the flop, I tend to size up if I think I'm ahead, and vice versa. Should I be more balanced?
- Even with all the suited broadways and connectors as bluffs, I still had villain's range at 60% equity on the flop. Does this sounds right? e.g. all the overpairs, AT+
3 Replies
I personally think you might be overestimating villains range on the flop after calling your 3bet.
Villains at these stakes often have weaker ranges after raise calling preflop than they should.
However, once villain raises your bet on the flop, now their range is much stronger since they don't raise-bluff often enough and you can make an exploitative fold IMO.
EDIT: Also your 3bet preflop might be too small. It might be worth it to raise 4x or higher instead of 3x since you are in the BB and will be OOP against a call.
One last thing, but I'm not sure if 3betting A7o is a great idea at these stakes. If you were playing against solid players, you might get them to fold A8o and A9o, etc. So you are folding hands that dominate you which is great.
However at these low stakes, one leak players have is that they call 3bets too wide. So they are likely to call A8o and A9o to a 3bet, and you aren't getting them to fold anyways.
Typically when people call 3bets too wide, an exploit you can make is to 3bet linearly and slightly wider for value.
Just my 2 cents 😀
Yep, it's gonna be low EV raise at best. BU massively overcalls and it's kind of a spot even fish can play somewhat well.
AP I would x/c flop and x/fold turn, but I'm not happy about any of it.
GTO wiz says we shouldn't even call A7o in this spot. The BU probably raises tighter with the SB over-calling looser than GTO. This doesn't help the case for squeezing, as we'd rather have position in a 3B pot. With our bluffs, we want hands with better hot/cold equity as they're easier to play out of position.
On this flop, we're kind of in no man's land. I guess I start with a check, to keep the pot as manageable as possible and to encourage bluffs / protect the checking range. GTO wizard checks ~75% of the time on this flop, with the only majority bets being JJ, AT, KcQc, KcJc, QcJc, AcJx, and a few backdoor spade hands. IP actually has a slight equity advantage if we're squeezing as wide as recommended. If I ran it in GTO+ with a narrower squeeze range, it probably does more betting with a fair amount of checks. The solver uses 2/3 or 1/2 pot. I would favor the 2/3 on this dynamic board where our value hands want to get most of the money on earlier streets. In position isn't supposed to have much of a raising range, so our hand goes off the rails a little bit. I don't think we can shove unless we think he's raising super wide like all all flushdraws, all gutshots, pair + draw, KcQx, and not much Tx ... that sort of range.
