Ace Jack bluffcatcher flush mare
J♥ seems right on the line. But where's the line?
MP: 69.2 BB
CO: 117.9 BB
BTN: 241.6 BB
SB: 278.4 BB
Hero (BB): 217.3 BB
UTG: 124.9 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♥ A♠
fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 12 BB, CO calls 9 BB
Flop: (24.5 BB, 2 players) A♥ 9♠ 6♥
Hero bets 7.7 BB, CO raises to 24 BB, Hero calls 16.3 BB
Turn: (72.5 BB, 2 players) 2♥
Hero checks, CO checks
River: (72.5 BB, 2 players) 4♥
Hero checks, CO bets 48 BB, hero?
9 Replies
I’d call here with AK no heart. R-X-B overbluffed and 4 flush even more overbluffed.
Call and sometimes lose to KQhh, KThh, K9hh, AKxh. My line is at least any heart, probably wider.
Id probably be more conservative here, but anything 9 and above is a very easy call. Probably any heart yeah.
Actually, thinking about it. This line could have some low flushes that x turn and got caught out then panic bet river too. I'd need data to prove that's true but I think it's possible, fish love trapping IP. Do they pick this sizing enough?
I did call. Results imminent
They are repping AQh or AKh which did not 4bet, we need to be good < 30% of the time, I would call.
Well cheers for relieving my calling anxiety. I call, villain shows:
Spoiler

Impressive flop raise really. RE: mda call. Today I dunno. I mean, I agree with the data ofc. Perhaps we can get away on this runout as IP's bluff range is K♥ heavy and most fish won't reopen with busted sets etc?
It's possible yeah. I marked him outside of this hand so I think the read was solid.
Probably a fairly neutral EV sigh-call
You should've bet the river small.. No idea why you checked