Double Aces flop
Effectives stacks : LJ 77BB , CO 174 BB, Hero (BB) 97 BB
Hero has KhKd
LJ limps, CO raises to 5BB, BU calls, Hero raises to 19BB , LJ calls, CO calls.
There is 63 BB in the pot, hero has 78BB left, and flop comes:
Ah, Th, Ac
What is the merit here for hero to bet?
If we decide to check, what is our calling strategy ?
2 Replies
That hand is a bummer and will probably find the muck. 3 way is just a rough spot for that flop and not even the AA part. 2 hearts and probably a gut shot for someone.
I had something similar heads up in a 3-bet pot. AQA with my KK. I eye rolled immediately. I 1/2 pot and got called. Turn was an 8, checked through. River was a Q, villain pot bet.
I ended up calling and they mucked but it was probably a losing play long term. You don't have the stack for this hand so you check through or shove and pray. Neither is fun or profitable. The 3bet is huge. What was the reasoning? 12ish BB seems far more reasonable.
I don't have any amazing strategy for this hand. Its just not a fun flop
He raised big because there's a limp, a raise and a call of the raise all before him and he's OOP. Raising to 12bb there wouldn't do anything so 19-24bb seems good to me.
As for the 2 aces on the flop, I would probably check and consider a call depending how big a bet we face hoping for a K on the turn
Start by checking, in the context/setting, 100% of the time. You'll benefit 20x (no exaggeration, lol) from them stabbing or doing awfully dumb moves when given the opportunity to. First off, if this is online, they view you as a fish because of your incomplete stack size. Best case scenario is they have 77-QQ, call a 25%-30% cbet OTF (if I was to cbet vs 2 loose passive's, I'd choose a 10%-15% sizing), check turn & river if you want a 'free showdown' OR bluff the river themselves with that hand and you somehow miracelously bluffcatch?? (They're a lot more likely to make mistakes vs a check than aggression, is what I'm trying to say.)
Also, squeeze to 26-28, either one's fine. Not 19 it's way too tiny.
In these scenarios it's best to try and attempt to decipher how these specific villains think about the game, and in general. Are they 22yo UK pals who drink at the pub with their m8's who are playing on their mobile, between chicken wing bites? Or are they serious players who will bet 10% flop 15% turn jam river with KQo??
