Should I be calling this down more often?
NL Holdem 0.05(BB)
BB ($5.32) [VPIP: 18.4% | PFR: 15.6% | AGG: 22.2% | Hands: 147]
UTG ($2.83) [VPIP: 26.3% | PFR: 23.7% | AGG: 50% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 39]
HJ ($6.52) [VPIP: 24.4% | PFR: 17.8% | AGG: 20.2% | Hands: 359]
HERO ($8.20) [VPIP: 23.4% | PFR: 18.2% | AGG: 44.3% | Flop Agg: 48% | Turn Agg: 48.3% | 3Bet: 9.4% | Fold to 3Bet: 49.2% | 4Bet: 8.9% | Hands: 8411]
BTN ($9.06) [VPIP: 27.3% | PFR: 21.8% | AGG: 35.2% | Hands: 526]
SB ($12.14) [VPIP: 26.9% | PFR: 23.1% | AGG: 22.9% | Hands: 215]
Dealt to Hero: A♠ Q♠
UTG Raises To $0.20, HJ Folds, HERO Raises To $0.45, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds, UTG Calls $0.25
Hero SPR on Flop: [2.45 effective]
Flop ($0.97): 7♣ 5♥ 4♠
UTG Checks, HERO Bets $0.27 (Rem. Stack: $7.48), UTG Raises To $0.54 (Rem. Stack: $1.84), HERO Calls $0.27 (Rem. Stack: $7.21)
Turn ($2.05): 7♣ 5♥ 4♠ 2♥
UTG Bets $1.02 (Rem. Stack: $0.82), HERO Folds
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- Looking back, maybe 3bet sizing was too small
- Flop - I thought villain has some bluffs in his x/r range (Axs) but leans heavily to his value (AA, sets)
- Turn - Solver still has 72% call for my range (and 62% for AQs). Against this villain, I'm okay with the fold. But why is solver still calling so often in this spot?
3 Replies
Your 3-bet is indeed too small.
Flop bet is either to small or should check.
Turn it probably doesn't matter.
Whatever solver (or more accurately—library of solves) that you are looking at is sort of irrelevant for a variety of reasons:
- villain opened to 4bb
- hero 3-bet to 9bb
- villain is short stacked
- hero c-bet 30% on 754r co vs ep in 3bp
- villain donked turn for 1/2p
Your 3-bet is indeed too small.
Flop bet is either to small or should check.
Turn it probably doesn't matter.
Whatever solver (or more accurately—library of solves) that you are looking at is sort of irrelevant for a variety of reasons:
- villain opened to 4bb
- hero 3-bet to 9bb
- villain is short stacked
- hero c-bet 30% on 754r co vs ep in 3bp
- villain donked turn for 1/2p
Thanks for looking at this!
Could you explain the reasons a little more? Aside from SPR, I don't really follow the other points and how they negate the solve(s).. Thanks again!
Thanks for looking at this!
Could you explain the reasons a little more? Aside from SPR, I don't really follow the other points and how they negate the solve(s).. Thanks again!
Because all those actions are not going to be a valid action in whatever solved sim you're looking at. It gives you very little insight... You can know that with the constraints of said sim and with said actions AQ is mixed, but that is not particularly helpful.