27 ICM spot
5 left in an Orleans 27 triple draw. 6 made the $.
I am shortest stack with 70K at 15/30 with 10/15 blinds. There is a stack with about 150K, the others are around 400K. The other short stack does seem quite interested in laddering.
Folds to the Button, a seemingly good player from Finland,who raises, and I am in the SB with 8842(A). I call with Jon Turner in the BB who also calls. Should I be 3!ing there?
2/2/2. I catch a 5. I check to the Button who bets; I check raise, commiting myself.
Thoughts?
7 Replies
I guess with icm I call pre but I just draw 1.
I had 842 with 8A…can’t draw one.
Oops. I’d fold pre
If you play, you are basically committed without any bluff equity, you have nearly have your stack in before first draw so you can’t fold for one more bet on 2nd street getting at least 6-1. Button should have a huge range. I estimate you have 40% equity three ways, but 58% heads-up.
So if you play you should three bet to get headsup to maximize your chance of winning. Keeping BB in to win more doesn’t help, esp when drawing to a 8. You are unlikely to see a better spot to put it all in before you get blinded off.
If you play, you are basically committed without any bluff equity, you have nearly half your stack in before first draw and can’t fold for one more bet on 2nd street getting at least 6-1. Button should have a huge range. I estimate you have 40% equity three ways, but 58% heads-up.
So if you play I feel you should three bet to get headsup to maximize your chance of winning. Keeping BB in to win more doesn’t help, esp when drawing to a 8. You are unlikely to see a better spot to put it all in befor
Clarifying what I wrote.
Flop cr is good but 3bet pre. You have no icm pressure here and a fine hand
hmm, so at what point does ICM shift a 3-bet pre to a different action, if ever?
not sure i'm seeing any argument for flatting no matter what our stack is, so that kinda leave 3b or fold situations? so oh i dunno, BTN is big stack, we're 2nd stack, and BB is smallest at table? something along those lines?
