My road to beating ultimate texas holdem

Okay everyone, firstly I'd like to say that I am not a gambler. I love to hang out at casinos but I know that every game there is -ev so i play table minimum for fun because i don't mind losing a little for a good time so this isn't a gambler trying to convince himself he can beat the casino. But I've been really studying this ultimate texas holdem game and i'm convinced that if you play an optimal strategy, it may be beat. I'm basing this pretty loosely that most players are playing a very bad strategy versus optimal, yet they can't possibly have less then a 10% disadvantage in the game or else losing runs would be extreme and no one would play. But there are so many ways you can improve yourself in that game that I believe with an optimal strategy you should be able to play at least 8-10% more efficiently then a player playing poorly.

For instance, most players don't realize that you are playing against a random hand, so they wait and wait until they hit a pair before they bet the 4x allowed preflop. What they should be doing is playing a random hand's range and anytime you are over 50% to a random hand, its 4x jam time.

What I would like to do is break down my strategy preflop:

any ace
any k5+, andy king suited
Q5s+, Q8+
J8s+, JT+
33+ for pocket pairs.

Now again, most players don't jam with these hands unless they have big A hands or medium pockets plus. so imagine how much of an edge we have versus them by taking these huge bets.

Post flop everyone plays pretty standard, assuming they didn't go all in for 4x preflop, they pretty much bet when they pair anything which is fine. But alot of equity is lost by most players by not knowing when to call on the river with high cards. I've actually pokerstoved certain cards against certain boards to determine when you should call or not. Its important to note that when the board pairs and doesn't pair makes a huge different.

In the game, when the board pairs you get paid 4-1 if you win by calling river. Not going to explain how you get 4-1, but anyone who has played the game and really thinks about it will see you get 4 to 1 by calling because when board pairs you get paid on the ante bet.

When the board doesn't pair is interesting, so lets say you call the river for 1 bet, well if the deal doesn't have a pair then you get your ante bet back. which means if the dealer doesn't pair you have a freeroll to win the hand since you put out a bet but get a bet back. the chances of the dealer not having a pair is 35%. Again if the dealer doesn't pair, you get 1 bet back.

So i did some pokerstoving and came out with a list of when you should call. Its kind of messy but hopefully it can be interpreted. Note that when I say a situation is close, that basically means you have to use your discretion on how drawy the board is. Anyone who plays the game I'd like to get some feed back and let me know what you think.

============================================

Non paired:
Any King
All queens except 1 cards to flush is close, OE is close if no over card. One over card is 10%

Any jack one over, no over is close. 1c to flush with 1 over is close.

Any ten 1 over. 2c to flush with straight possibility is close.

Nine 2 overs is close kicker above lower cards is better, go if no 2c to flush + straight possibilities. 3 overs is definite.

8 needs 3 overs.

7 needs 4 overs

IF BOARD PAIRS:

all kings unless 1 card to flush

all queens except 1c to flush unless 2 overs, 2c to flush is close. No overs is close 3%, with 3c to flush 2%. No overs kicker needs to be greater then one on board.

Jack 1 over is close 4%, no jack without an over. no jack if 1c to flush

Ten needs 2 overs, no go if 1c to flush.

==============================================

One final note. I'm very aware casino games for the most part can't be beat. So even if i'm wrong about this game it still would be pretty cool knowing you are extremely close to ev against the casino and with beers and comps might even come out ahead. Any insight would be appreciated.