All in preflop variance

Okay, nice

So what does this mean practically?

You'd expect to be around +4k all in pre-flop with the hands you went all in with.

In practice; you're just about break even?

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This chart could be misinterpreted to showcase a truth behind what 'riggies' claim is the case with online poker. (Premiums not hitting at expected rates)

I think what this actually shows is that short term variance can be ****ing brutal. 500 hands; expected value of 4k+, and actual value of just barely breaking even is heartbreaking.

Yeah think it’s just variance (I’m def not claiming online is rigged)

Interesting that I can still achieve a decently high WR despite the variance. Got me wondering how much Ai Pf affects overall winrate but I would lean towards not anywhere close to postflop edge.

Would be nice to scoop those pots though

Try getting it in more bad.

few hundred hands later from OP

got all my tracked hands in one place so can also share the full graph of all in pre. total sample is about 475k hands or so. 1.5k hands seems pretty small

I lost 13 out of 14 all-in pre-flops with AK.....every time a coinflip except once against KK. This was in live poker.