Am I 2nlz fish or 50nlz crusher? Mate...

Hey,

I'm Ceres. A 38 yr old manchild from sunny Wales in the UK.

Five years ago I got sick and lost my job and had to move back in with the folks. After about a year I had the bright idea of learning poker as an insurance policy for my illness - not slightly underestimating how bloody hard it is.

Anyway, cut to now and I'm an okayish player (I think). Somewhat impossible to know exactly what level I'm at given I've zipped around the micros zoom and cash playing mostly 2-10nl (earnt ~£2.5k overall). Because I'm basically penniless with no income I've spent the whole roll on a mix of poker things (tracker, pio, training), food and - most importantly - marijuana. I currently play 25nl on a soft site I'm grinding for food money and seem to be crushing, but I'd like to do it on stars too as a backup bankroll AND as a test of skill. Plus the convenience of zoom is pretty amazing.

My main issues are with bankroll management (I spend it) and getting in the hours. Both of these are fixable with a little discipline and dedication.

I would estimate my skill level to be somewhere between 10-50nlz. Which brings me to the point of this challenge.

....

tHe CHallenge

[ ] 200k hands
[ ] From 2-50nlz

If I *think* I'm a 50nl player then I should be able to grind myself up from 2nl to 50nlz right? If I can hit 5bb at every stake and use an aggro bankroll strat (20 BI) then I calculate this should take me somewhere around 200k hands. And that's not so bad as a challenge for the start of 2021.

202,100 hands perhaps?

So... my plan is first of all to train for the next two weeks to see out 2020 and finally cobble together all I've learnt up til now about good micro strategy. I will maybe talk about some of that here.

I've no choice but to continue grinding my 25nl cushy site for ~ 3 hours a day, which is separate from this challenge, but I will aim to add a couple of zoom tables in for at least an hour a day and maybe more on weekends. By my most optimistic estimate this would allow me to complete the challenge in around 12-16 weeks. Or somewhere around the end of April 2021.

😃 - as if.

Of course mother variance is queen and could destroy/prolong the whole exercise indefinitely or, and this is the more likely outcome, I might not be as good as I think I am and land flat on my arse at 5nlz. I don't know. It's an adventure. What will we find out there on the streets?

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Me as we stand with a lowly 20BI bankroll for 2nlz:

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You can follow here for updates or try and snipe me on Stars. I'm toying with the idea of adding a twitch mainly just so I can have an accessible repository of hands as played. Is that wise or am I just inviting needless hassle/stress? Idk

Anyway, thanks for reading. I'll try and make things as entertaining as can be for a 38 year old stoner in pyjamas flapping at luck buttons in a pathetic attempt to win $$$ against other lonely men.

Pray for variance,

Ceres