PLO, a scientific approach to improvement
Hi, I'm a long term poker recreational player, after more than 150k hands at microstakes I'm breakeven. My background is a scientist and I've worked for over 20 years in healthcare.
I do enjoy poker theory, reading books and watching videos. I have watched hundreds of videos across numerous training sites. I have recently been thinking about how to effectively improve given the wealth of knoweldge out there and found this to be somewhat lacking, even though there are numerous books, videos and articles on the subject, they don't really help, although they have helped me come up with my own theory for improvement. The most inspirational video I found was one from Fedor Holz explaining how most players are really lazy and just enjoy playing and they dont have solid fundamentals and they don't want to spend the time learning them. I agree with this as this is me!
I also looked into the theory of learning a complex tast and there are a couple of theories of note, 1 that you learn everything at once and over time it starts to make sense, and 2 that you need to break it down into smaller specific parts. So number 1 has made me a breakeven player so lets supplement that with breaking things down into smaller chunks, mastering those, in a measurable way and moving on.
So the science part.
I have a good enough sample of hands to show I am breakeven. I have played a mix of stakes and zoom and normal tables. I have done everything wrong and have leaks all over the place, including mental game leaks, tactical leaks etc.
I am going to maximise my learning and ability to implement the learning. I will ensure than I play without distractions, normal tables only (no zoom) and other things to generally maximise my winrate. So high volume grinding is not the goal here but maximum learning and maximum winrate. Having a full time job and other commitments will mean my time is limited but I'll be as organised as possible and form effective habits.
I will learn a new concept in depth every week, I will baseline my understanding with a solver in train mode before I start learning the new concept and then again at the end of the week. If I score less than 90%, I will repeat the week. Concepts will be pre and post flop and I'll go to the high volume spots first. I'd estimate my learning and playing will be for around 2 hours a day, but maybe more if I can get organised.
Tools at my disposal
PLO trainer
PT4
Coaching
Odds Oracle
Subscription to ROI (including PLO from the ground up)
Various books
I'll post at least 2 updates a week, one at the start of the week setting out the concept to be learned and my baseline solver score, then an update at the end of the week, with my learning outcomes and new score. I'll also periodically post graphs and maybe the odd hand to elucidate a specific point.
I'm interested to see how I get on
1 Reply
Quick end of year review, generally a good year for my poker growth. I think from the graphs and results I am no longer a breakeven player but a small winning player. So 2024 will be a continuation of the journey, as studying, with a focus on quality has paid off.
Other 2023 things I did
Switched to a 50bb game
Moved a bit of volume to GG
Had my worst downswing ever
Stars, a mix of stakes mainly 50plo, with some 100 and some 25 too.
GG mainly 50plo but some 100 and 200 and probably 25 too
GG adjusted winrate is 1.84 bb/100, stars adjusted winrate is 4.31bb/100 so modest and can be boosted
So 2024 I need to boost my winrate, through more study, more mental game work and trying to focus on quality over quantity. Plus working full time, with familty commitments is going to mean a ratio of around 1:1 study vs play if not even more skewed towards study.
I'll look into bankroll requirements, I was quite aggressive in 2023 which meant the downswing was not great from a bankroll point of view and small winrates mean a higher chance of a downswing, so less aggressive shot taking. Also I plan on making small withdrawals on winning months, maybe 50% of that months prerakeback winnings and overpaying my mortgage. I think this will keep me motivated and hopefully not hurt my bankroll growth too much.