Poker MTT graph

The frustration is understandable. But the losses always compile to the last big hands..., so you'll almost always run under the ev. 60-80% realization is normal range. Running over ev is reserved for sun runs with A5s vs AK 30bb heads up shove bink in megafield, twice in 100k hands. I hope you get what I mean.

Estimating the 60-80% realization for break even 75k hands sample is hard, but I would say you have ran little bit under that 60%. One big 1st place would have fixed that.

Focus on bb/100. Study GTO, study ICM and play less tables maybe. You'll start to find the spots where bb/100 is made. This will improve your changes of winning and making money a lot. But one thing that doesn't fix either is the variance.

I'd love to see you bb/100 as well, because it tells more about the quality of your play.

My stuff goes as follows:

And yes, I have lost a lot of money. Feels bad and unfair, but just gotta study more and move on.

Here's 'bb' at 100. Thanks for the answer.

Everything looks solid here. Either exceptionally bad run with tons of coolers in significant spots. Or too loose ICM plays.

You're quite loose and very aggressive, so I wonder that do you situationally tame it down? Most ICM spots needs drastic changes to 3bet and calling ranges, 3bet sizes and squeeze spots.

I've generally been concentrating entirely on ICM spots in DTO because I can't believe it's possible to constantly bust out at crucial moments, whether it's on a flip, a cooler, or a total bad beat. For example, AA vs K9.

It is very surprising that you can't even find chip ev with nearly 10bb/100 winrate.

This just seems impossible, because you seem to have less than 10 superlarge end game bad beats/coolers in the graph that possible could cause it. This looks to me that you ran constantly into setup after setup in key spots.

I really don't know what to say. I guess poker is rigged.

Sometimes, after yet another unfair loss in a key spot and I’m tilted, I also start thinking the game is rigged. It all just feels like it’s following a script. Haha.
But overall, my mindset is set up to believe in variance. I truly believe that eventually, everything will even out.

I know exactly how you feel. Check my thread. I was just saying the same thing. The pattern!

Just try to distance yourself from it. It happened. Now go enjoy the summer for a while. When getting back to the grind, change site. Fresh start.

If we, the players, don’t stand up for our rights, no one else will.

Online poker is a multi-billion dollar industry, and yet the basic right to access full log files of our own sessions is still denied. If we come together as a community and demand full transparency — including hand histories, connection logs, and technical events — we might actually achieve something.

Because let's be honest: there are far too many suspicious patterns in the game to keep pretending it's all just "variance" or "psychology."

I’ve personally run experiments — like opening a completely non-standard hand to 100bb — only to see, at the exact same moment, my other table implode in a bizarre spot against the same exact hand I just opened with. Played by an unusual opponent. Coincidence? Maybe once. But over and over again?

Something doesn’t add up.

We’re not asking for magic. We’re asking for basic transparency — something every fair system should offer by default.

Come on, people, if we gather more people to submit a request to the appropriate institution for full transparency of the log files of poker rooms, as well as their algorithms, it will be in our favor. I want to emphasize that we are not accusing anyone — we are simply doing this for our own security. After all, we are playing with our real money!