A Loser No More
A Loser No More

A Loser No More

Hi Guys,

I thought I would start documenting my poker journey as a way to make new friends and get some accountability for improving. I hope to keep this blog updated around once a week, probably on Sundays, with my goals, progress, and any interesting stories/hands I come across. Maybe some updates on my occasionally interesting personal life. Anyway, here's the background:

BACKGROUND

I am a grad student in my late 20s working towards a Ph.D. in Applied Physics. I study experimental quantum optics, particularly related to photon pair generation for quantum communications and information processing. I'm also a musician, having played keyboard instruments since I was around 8 years old (with a 5 year hiatus).

I learned to play poker when I was around 10 while on vacation with my dad. He learned to play from his father, and they travelled to Vegas around once a year to play and see shows and the like. My dad hosted a monthly cash game with a group of regular recreational players and I would usually sit on his lap and watch until it was my bed time. He's pretty good for a recreational player: read some books, knows some basic odds concepts, final tabled once at the daily tournament at the Aria, but he never really taught me anything besides the order of hands and the rules for NLHE/stud.

I played poker here and there in my life, sitting down in my dad's game once I got old enough, playing with friends who were mostly into it for the gambling aspect, but never really took anything seriously. When I turned 21 my dad took me to Vegas and gave me a buy in for 1/3 at the Aria as a gift. Left that weekend with around $900, including giving my dad the buy in back. I probably got lucky, I don't remember the session all that well, but I was hooked and new I had to learn more about serious poker.

I did some free online stuff, learned about EV and odds and ranges and equity, but never took studying seriously. I thought that because I read some things about poker I must be better than all the people playing microstakes online at ACR, and boy was I wrong. I've been a losing player for the better part of 2 years, playing here and there and mostly blaming it on grinders who made microstakes poker their life. But recently I decided that enough was enough and I am going to become a winning player! Currently, my cash game results look like this:


This is almost entirely at 2NL, so it's not like I have some huge money problem in my personal life, but I can't be happy with it. And from here, I plan to only go up!

CURRENT PLAY

Right now, I consider myself a bit of a calling station. I overcall 3bets pre-flop and am not really good at determining my equity post-flop which leads me to overcall and pay off opponents when I'm dominated. Years of play like this has also made it difficult to be aggressive when I need to, and I think my post-flop bet sizing could use some work to keep my opponents from hitting cheap draws. Bluffing is somewhat of a mystery to me. Sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't, and I am not always sure why, or if it's working enough or if I am doing it enough. I'm definitely not getting paid off enough when I win, so I probably overfold some of my bluffs.

I don't really consider myself that good at reading/categorizing my opponents. I know who is good and who is bad, who's a maniac, but I need to fine tune my characterizations to separate the loose passives from the calling stations, the nits from the TAGs, etc. I think part of the problem is that I am so focused on my own game and making the right move that I have a hard time drawing long-term conclusions from my opponents. That and the constantly changing player pool you come across in the microstakes.

GOALS

I've narrowed down a few goals to hit at the end of the year:

1. Recoup my losses in big blinds so I can actually say I am break even. I know monetary goals aren't the best, but I am only down around 10 stacks so I think planning on getting that back by the end of the year isn't unreasonable. If I want to bust out of microstakes I think I should be able to win 10 stacks in 9 months, and hold onto those winnings.
2. Learn to use the poker tracker (I use DriveHUD 2) so that it is actually a useful tool and not an annoying reminder on the screen of how much I have lost. The features in there are deep and will help me categorize the players I come across. No reason I shouldn't be analyzing my sessions to learn what is really going on.
3. Categorize every player i have at least 250 hands against. That seems like enough to know what kind of player they are, but also limit the number of players I come across. Even if I haven't seen them in a year or so, I want to pick up on the characteristics that make up certain kinds of players so that it is easier to do when I am at tables.
4. Nail down preflop so I make a mistake ~7% of the time. Yes, that's still a lot of mistakes, but it's much less than I am making now and it's a quantifiable goal I can say I did or did not hit.
5. Improve my on-the-fly equity calculations post-flop. This comes from player categorization, because if I can estimate someone's range based on what type of player they are, I'll better be able to estimate my equity. I haven't found a way to quantify this yet.
6. Finish Jonathan Little's "Mastering Small Stakes No-Limit Hold'em". I love Jonathan's exploitative style of play and I think he's one of the greatest poker educators out there. He's a skilled player and has documented so much of his knowledge, so learning a system like his will help take me to the next level.
7. Keep this blog updated once a week. Accountability!

Very long term goals are building a bankroll to play 300NL live at my local casino. Yeah... we've got a ways to go.

TOOLS AND BOOKS

Here's what I am using so far, suggestions welcome:

1. DriveHUD2. Track bankroll, track and study hands, evaluate the play of myself and others.
2. Poker Trainer app. Great preflop study tool for only $9.99 a month.
3. David Sklansky's "Theory of Poker." Yes it's old, and focuses a lot on limit games, but I'm about halfway through this book and have already learned so much about how to think about poker. It covers basic concepts so clearly, and seems extremely helpful for that reason.
4. Jonathan Little's "Mastering Small Stakes No-Limit Hold'em." See above.
5. GTO Wizard. I don't plan on paying for it because yeah it's hella expensive but it is good for studying different spots and practicing post-flop in a way the Poker Trainer app doesn't fully allow me to yet.
6. Youtube, discord, etc. So much free knowledge out there.

OBSTACLES

1. Time. I am a Ph.D. student trying to graduate sooner rather than later. I can't just sit around and play/study poker all day. I've got my band, my girlfriend, etc. Life is busy.
2. Preconceived notions. Poker is tough and I have decades of bad assumptions to get rid of. I consider myself to be an extremely intelligent person, as shown by my choice of career, which often makes it hard to humble yourself and say you're wrong or don't know something. This has primarily what has impeded my progress to date.

If you've read this far, thank you, and I hope you look forward to my first update coming this Sunday!

27 February 2025 at 06:14 PM
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3 Replies



Good Play or Variance?

Weekly Results:


Won some big hands early in the week, but I blew most of it on a few crucial mistakes. Luckily I was able to make some good plays today to end up back up where I was. I was stupid and forgot to tag hands while I was playing so I don't have many specifics to report on. I noticed a few things in general about my play though:

1. My post flop play is fairly mechanical right now. I am not really thinking enough about the exact situation and opponent. I identify if I am probably ahead or probably behind, what could draw on the board, and then act. But I don't really think what I am actually against, which makes tricky situations trickier for me. I think getting more characterizations of my opponent will help. I think I don't get caught bluffing enough, but losing those big hands also makes me feel like I don't fold enough when I should pretty clearly see I am beat. I don't think I want to be bluffing when the pot is that big.
2. My preflop play improved a lot this week, thanks to a LOT of practice. I'm still working on getting the range deviation set up in DriveHUD so I don't have good quantitative data but I feel like I'm in less sticky situations post flop.
3. Flopped quads twice in two days which is pretty fun 😃 Couldn't get paid either time though.

Topics I covered:
Preflop ranges, Free Card.


Was I that wrong?


This last week was pretty crushing because I feel like I had really improved my play. I made a series of terrible moves this week and I do feel like I patched at least one leak: Always going all in on AK. I noticed people started snapping all in against me after four bets.

In general I missed a lot of flops and couldn't get people to fold to any of my bluffs. I got drawn out on a few all ins too which made the whole thing even worse. IDK if I play too passively, the game is too tough, or what. I'm also stuck in ACR because I am below the amount of money I need to cash out. Here were a few tough hands I had in my sesh today.

Bad Play on My Part.
In this case I should have probably checked the turn. I felt like I needed to bet the flop because I had the range advantage, and I bet the turn because I had made top pair. After the turn call the river is definitely a check. I felt overly confident because he didn't connect well with this board and I thought I might be able to scare him off.
NL Holdem 0.02(BB)
CO ($2.97) [VPIP: 57.1% | PFR: 42.9% | AGG: 16.7% | Hands: 7]
HERO ($1.60) [VPIP: 26.4% | PFR: 17.6% | AGG: 39.4% | Flop Agg: 38.3% | Turn Agg: 44.2% | River Agg: 40.8% | 3Bet: 6.8% | 4Bet: 11% | Cold Call: 18% | Hands: 13123]
SB ($1.28) [VPIP: 24% | PFR: 15.8% | AGG: 40.5% | Hands: 203]
BB ($4.64) [VPIP: 39.6% | PFR: 27.1% | AGG: 36.1% | Hands: 49]
HJ ($2.56) [VPIP: 21.8% | PFR: 16.2% | AGG: 27.5% | Flop Agg: 17.2% | Turn Agg: 39.1% | River Agg: 38.5% | 3Bet: 7.5% | 4Bet: 40% | Hands: 186]

Dealt to Hero: 9 A

HJ Raises To $0.05, CO Folds, HERO Calls $0.05, SB Folds, BB Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [11.92 effective]
Flop ($0.13): 7 6 4
HJ Checks, HERO Bets $0.03 (Rem. Stack: $1.52), HJ Calls $0.03 (Rem. Stack: $2.48)

Turn ($0.19): 7 6 4 9
HJ Checks, HERO Bets $0.14 (Rem. Stack: $1.38), HJ Calls $0.14 (Rem. Stack: $2.34)

River ($0.47): 7 6 4 9 5
HJ Checks, HERO Bets $0.11 (Rem. Stack: $1.27), HJ Calls $0.11 (Rem. Stack: $2.23)

Spoiler
Show

HJ shows: Q Q

HJ wins: $0.66

Fold too early??
This is a hard hand because we were heads up. Obviously in that case I am strong with top pair but what is this guy even raising me with on that turn? Is he just trying to scare me? Over pair? I lose my straight draw, so I just decide to get out of there.

NL Holdem 0.02(BB)
BB ($6.89) [VPIP: 43.3% | PFR: 37.5% | AGG: 43.9% | Flop Agg: 68.7% | Turn Agg: 25.6% | 3Bet: 22.3% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 12% | Hands: 230]
HERO ($2) [VPIP: 26.4% | PFR: 17.6% | AGG: 39.4% | Flop Agg: 38.3% | Turn Agg: 44.2% | 3Bet: 6.8% | 4Bet: 11% | Hands: 13123]

Dealt to Hero: T J

HERO Raises To $0.06, BB Calls $0.04

Hero SPR on Flop: [16.17 effective]
Flop ($0.12): 8 4 T
BB Checks, HERO Bets $0.09 (Rem. Stack: $1.85), BB Raises To $0.27 (Rem. Stack: $6.56), HERO Calls $0.18 (Rem. Stack: $1.67)

Turn ($0.66): 8 4 T 4
BB Bets $0.33 (Rem. Stack: $6.23), HERO Folds

Spoiler
Show

BB wins: $0.63

Did I play this one right at least?

I feel like even though I lost here I had a good bluff on the turn, but unfortunately the guy just had a good bluff catcher. Maybe i should have gotten out of there, but I felt like this was one I had to stick to, even though he is blocking the nut flush. I'm on the button, so I should have a good number of flushes here.

NL Holdem 0.02(BB)
SB ($1.26) [VPIP: 14.3% | PFR: 14.3% | AGG: 33.3% | Hands: 22]
BB ($5.68) [VPIP: 36.1% | PFR: 2.8% | AGG: 23.3% | Flop Agg: 25% | Turn Agg: 22.2% | River Agg: 28.6% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 28.6% | Hands: 40]
HJ ($2.14) [VPIP: 36.1% | PFR: 22.8% | AGG: 21.2% | Hands: 186]
CO ($2.39) [VPIP: 24.1% | PFR: 11.1% | AGG: 25.7% | Hands: 203]
HERO ($2.10) [VPIP: 26.4% | PFR: 17.6% | AGG: 39.4% | Flop Agg: 38.3% | Turn Agg: 44.2% | River Agg: 40.8% | 3Bet: 6.8% | 4Bet: 11% | Hands: 13123]

Dealt to Hero: K 6

HJ Folds, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $0.06, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.04

Hero SPR on Flop: [15.69 effective]
Flop ($0.13): 2 9 5
BB Bets $0.02 (Rem. Stack: $5.60), HERO Calls $0.02 (Rem. Stack: $2.02)

Turn ($0.17): 2 9 5 A
BB Bets $0.04 (Rem. Stack: $5.56), HERO Raises To $0.08 (Rem. Stack: $1.94), BB Calls $0.04 (Rem. Stack: $5.52)

River ($0.33): 2 9 5 A 8
BB Checks, HERO Bets $0.16 (Rem. Stack: $1.78), BB Calls $0.16 (Rem. Stack: $5.36)

Spoiler
Show

BB shows: T A

BB wins: $0.62

Gl in your grind will be following!

Would recommend you having top up "On", means when ever you have less then 100bb it will add chips to be exactly 100bb. Will make life easier playing with 100bb or more.

HH1: I prefer preflop strategy of 3B or fold from HJ/CO/BTN/SB vs open... duo to being in high rake environment and playing 3B as aggressor (always better to attack then defend) .... Besides that mostly WP, river is a little bit too thin probability but fine imo (need to think about what worse hands call you and here its not that easy to find)

HH2: Would call turn with intention to call river if its a safe card (if he bets reasonable size(less then pot)), I'm not a hud expert as I play on site with no hud but your opponent looks loose-aggressive so that would make me want to call down more.

HH3: Would raise bigger OTT this size is so small that you won't get too many folds (which would be nice with just K-high), mayeb bet a bit larger OTR trying to make it harder for 9x 5x 8x or PP to call ... small things but overall Pre/Flop/River WP.


by LVDavid m

Gl in your grind will be following!Would recommend you having top up "On", means when ever you have less then 100bb it will add chips to be exactly 100bb. Will make life easier playing with 100bb or more.HH1: I prefer preflop strategy of 3B or fold from HJ/CO/BTN/SB vs open... duo to being in high rake environment and playing 3B as aggressor (always better to attack then defend

by LVDavid m

Gl in your grind will be following!Would recommend you having top up "On", means when ever you have less then 100bb it will add chips to be exactly 100bb. Will make life easier playing with 100bb or more.HH1: I prefer preflop strategy of 3B or fold from HJ/CO/BTN/SB vs open... duo to being in high rake environment and playing 3B as aggressor (always better to attack then defend

Thanks for your reply, nice to know that someone out there is reading this 😀.

As for the top up, ACR is dumb and has some tables where the max buy in is 80bb. Usually I'll close out the table and try to find a 100bb one, but sometimes it's tough to find a table and you have to take what you have.

Thanks for the pointers, I will take this into account during my hand review. I feel like generally the ACR games are so tough for the price, which is good for practice but occasionally discouraging.


Nice blog! For online cash I would highly recommend "The Grinder's Manual" by Peter Clarke. It's a bit expensive, but is on Kindle Unlimited. Very thorough and detailed.

GL!

Appreciate the rec. Don't have kindle unlimited bc I hate ebooks for this kind of thing (hard to mark them up) but, as you'll see in this week's post, it's time to cut back on hands and maybe focus a bit more on the studying.


by fiziks m

Appreciate the rec. Don't have kindle unlimited bc I hate ebooks for this kind of thing (hard to mark them up) but, as you'll see in this week's post, it's time to cut back on hands and maybe focus a bit more on the studying.

Now I see it is _only_ on ebook format... and at $54! JLittle's NLH guide is only $24 in print.... I subscribed to the kindle trial to check it out and see what it is all about.

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