$100 to $10K Poker Bankroll Challenge - The Grind Begins

Up to 1,917 usd

are we check raising river or betting ourselves?

Went over 2.1K today. Really good last few days - playing well but running well too. If you're reading this or following my progress, let me know what you think of this hand vs a reg at 50nl.

Bb 3b we called.

Flop went bet small call. X, we blocked turn villain jams. Against a lot of players I think this is a fold as people generally aren't find the bluffs but vs this guy, who seems decent, a call seemed best. Also I'd expect him to bet JJ and QQ on turn almost always. Thoughts?

So if you haven't seen so far, I am aiming to make it to 10K online playing NLHE. My bankroll is 1,890 (took a small hit last night)

Target for this week: 2.3K.

Key leak: Hero calling / tilt calling vs recs!!

Gl Gl with goals!

Regarding A7s hand:

TLDR: I prefer betting yourself

To answer if betting ourselves or slowplay is best, I think at these stakes we ought to approach it from an ABC point of view more than what our range wants to do or our interaction with villain call range (which also matters just not to the same extend as the following, given how unbalanced and clueless about correct sizings everyone is at these stakes).

IMO we should mainly ask ourselves 3 things

1) How much does our hand want in the middle on this board in this line? I don't actually think we want much more than 30-40bb in the middle here, so much stuff got there and even though the turn x should cap villain slightly, its not like he cant ever have slowplays turn or something like KK or QJ that improved river. So if we bet ourselves somewhere around a pot size and a call gets us to 35ish bb which is reasonable imo. Vs stationy villains I don't mind going slightly larger though

2) Do we ever actually get called by worse if we bet the exact sizing our hand wants? The answer here is yes ofc, its very easy for him to convince himself you are attacking his turn x, so would def expect quite some catches vs b100-b120 ish, how often it will happen exactly is hard to quanitfy ofc (unless u use MDA, but that has some obvious flaws aswell, as it just provides average answers and nothing about how this villain plays vs you on this exact board)

3) To reach the desired pot size derived in question 1 which line is best (x/c / x/r or bet ourselves). To answer this we should look at our answer to Q2, how thin we think villain goes with value here, and wether he over or underbluffs the spot It's close here without info on villain. If we x/r it's getting into very thin territory though, so to get to desired pot size, he has to bet worse value or a bluff for around b85-b125. Based on gut feeling I think this won't happen enough (either he goes smaller than we want or he just x back mid value), therefore whenever it's close betting yourself never bad, this way we also ensure getting the exact amount we want in the middle ( and we use our hopefully aggro image to our advantage)

If we think villain is super good, we can go through all the solver stuff (what range wants and how our hand interact with villains calls and bluffs etc). There is no real point in going through this in a post though as anyone can just look up the spot themselves (but spoiler solver ofc wants a lot of x and when we bet it's small, as this is all our range can sustain). I think in general everyone is caring wayy too much about this and too little about the abc stuff though so just wanted to provide that perspective aswell.

Thanks for the detailed reply mate, really enjoyed reading that. I completely agree with everything you said and think I blundered on the river, although I don't like his sizing on river and I do feel I can sometimes get called worse when he bets that size. But overall better to bet ourselves for sure 😀

Cold caller was unknown, but usually a feel when a player cold calls a 3b he will be a weaker opponent. HU I think the flop is fine, we have bdfd and he can have a wide range of hands like Axs that we can get to fold, or even offsuit combos that are stronger than our A4 and hands we don't mind him folding like KQ/KJ etc. Think when we turn the fd we have to keep barrelling. Our hand doesn't play well as a x call with these stack depths and we can still get him to fold some better A highs. I was very annoyed/confused when he jammed turn. I thought there was a possibility we're drawing dead vs 88/TT but he could have JJ, or a worse pair so felt I had to call given the odds. We were very live!! But TOO MANY OUTS!!

Up and down over the last couple of days. June been a bit up and down. Some bad play, some run bad, but some run good so can't be too down. Learning from each session I play. Made some awfully spewy plays - need to cut that **** out!

So finished my last session this month - and I rescued it to win a staggering .60 for June! #winnerwinner #moneymoneymoney

July off to a good start! Will hopefully be taking a shot at 100nl soon. I'm close to being able to spin for $360 rakeback, which would be my largest ever by a LONG way!

Hello! I'm not a high stakes or even low stakes crusher myself, but I do play a lot against these kinds of fish.

The flop gives us a massive overpair advantage since they're capped by their cold call. Therefore, I think we could go and just bet bigger on the flop to get folds from their small pocket pairs, random rainbows and better AX, using a sizing that puts stacks in geometrically with the potential turn barrell, skipping river entirely. If they call a large cbet OTF, we can just give up the turn and see what we do OTR if turn goes XX. B33 is going to get called by these guys with any pairs and AX anyways.

I think the intention should be more like using smaller sizings and then blast off OTR when fold equity still exists and they still have a lot of air in their range, but only if we think they have a functioning fold button then. Ace high might actually have a tiny bit of show down value left by then.

I would just check the flop, little reason to try to play 3d chess OOP with a crap hand against a pidgeon that shits on the board and doesn't know what's going on anyways, which is obvious based on the broken stack and the 3bet cold call.

As played, OTT we're 56 bb eff and the pot is 40, so our SPR is less than 1.5. I think that if we wanna bluff our nfd here, the 20 bb turn bet leaving behind 36 bb isn't going to achieve much, so just send it (I wouldn't). I would check the turn if I misclicked this cbet sizing OTF, which does happen sometimes when not paying enough attention to eff stacks.

However, there are certain types of fish that float or call especially small cbet pretty much any flop, SRP, 3b, multiway, you name it. Often half or full pot. Against such a player the paired flop could easily be simplified by just x-jamming all AX with backdoors at this SPR and moving on. But that's just my opinion, it has worked surprisingly well.

Best of luck and motivation for the studies and grind sir 😀

Reached the 2K mark and nearly able to spin for 360 rakeback so 100nl soon hopefully! Feel like I'm finally playing well and making the exploitative folds I need to make.

Thanks for this reply mate. I actually replied basically saying I agree with you and at the time I didn't notice his broken stack, but I wasn't logged in so my message wasn't sent. Anyway mate really appreciate it.

What site are you on? What stakes do you play?

10-50, a geofenced IPoker skin mostly. Currently 10-20 due to busting my previous roll off the felt lol. I'm pretty reluctant to comment here on what I think of a particular hand due to not having played 100 or higher since the black friday and there are almost always people more knowledgeable than me already saying stuff, but on this one I just thought I do have an idea bc low SPR pots against fish both HU and MW are way more common than standard 3b pots in my pool lol, and I play them pretty much every 3 minutes during my sessions. I have a PBG I started here as well if you wanna check it out 😃

It's been a while since I posted here! My br keeps going up and down, but I have learnt a few things:

1) GG rake is too high - I have been advised to switch to a different site, so now playing on coinpoker.

2) The standard at 50nl is awful and 100nl isn't amazing either so there is hope!

3) 50nl players are absolute nits. You have to make big exploit folds if you want to move up the stakes!

Will start posting some hands on here and updates more frequently, for me more than anything. But I will also create some videos and start putting them up on YouTube, so check them out!