Using GTO wizard to try to understand edges
Hi guys,
Quick question, can't figure out why the solver is choosing these specific suits vs. a river jam in the following hand.
Took a while in game before I called, was in doubt because we were holding the J♣, I figured that this could be the edge where we fold, but called since villain had a high 3b%
After studying the hand in GTOwiz, I noticed that it actually prefers calling with the J♣, where I thought, since it blocks A♣J♣, K♣J♣, even J♣T♣ it would make us not prefer to have the J♣.
There must be a reason behind this, but I can't figure it out.
GGPoker, Hold'em No Limit - $0.10/$0.25 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Pokeit
UTG: $51.58 (206 bb)
MP (Hero): $28.09 (112 bb)
CO: $54.33 (217 bb)
BU: $25.10 (100 bb)
SB: $25.00 (100 bb)
BB: $45.95 (184 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP with J♣ J♥
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.63, 2 players fold, SB 3-bets to $2.78, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.15
Flop: ($5.81) Q♠ Q♣ 5♣ (2 players)
SB bets $1.92, Hero calls $1.92
Turn: ($9.65) 6♥ (2 players)
SB bets $4.83, Hero calls $4.83
River: ($19.31) 3♦ (2 players)
SB bets $15.47 (all-in)
Rivercall with JJ in GTO wizzard taken the same line as in game:
2 Replies
I'm not completely sure, but I will tell you what I would presume would account for this.
In the example you gave our opponent typically likes to semi-bluff with flush draws on the flop and turn, but on the river they prefer to bluff with hands other than flush draws and give up with club combos.
The reason is that when they're bluffing they want to unblock our auto-folds. On the river our missed flush draws will be auto-folds, so our opponent would prefer to bluff with other combos rather than clubs.
As a result of our opponent not bluffing the river with missed flush draws, when we have a club we will unblock their bluffs, since they're choosing to bluff with suits other than clubs on the river.
So I think it can be explained by blocker effects. Hope that makes sense. The solver strategy is sensitive to the exact combos being used, however a human could very well decide to bluff the river with a missed flush draw. As a result the solver's conclusion/strategy is likely of limited use when we're actually facing human opponents.
Look at the bluffing range for SB.
