2024 ELECTION THREAD

2024 ELECTION THREAD

The next presidential race will be here soon! Please see current Bovada odds. Thoughts?

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14 July 2022 at 02:28 PM
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by StoppedRainingMen k

Cope harder, y’all

Leave it to these idiots to completely miss the point of why that commercial is so awful.

Idiots meaning Trump, Kirk, Watters. That gets lost when the whole message doesn't get copied.



I think Kamala will win all the swing states.


I hope everyone voted. I enjoyed it. I enjoyed it a lot.


According to Elon Musk, apparently I am supposed to vote for Trump because some guy that always wears very tight pants had his pet squirrel killed by local authorities.


by pocket_zeros k

One of these days you might actually get an earned zinger in on someone. Unlikely considering your meme-driven intellect but hope springs eternal.

Lol Ok.

Spoiler
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RUSSIA RUSSIA RUSSIA


by Dunyain k

According to Elon Musk, apparently I am supposed to vote for Trump because some guy that always wears very tight pants had his pet squirrel killed by local authorities.

I would think about it but it was too late for me. I voted a couple days ago.


by spaceman Bryce k

I think Kamala will win all the swing states.

I'm going all but 1 but with at least one other (Iowa or Florida type).


by Brian James k

Lol Ok.

Spoiler
Show

RUSSIA RUSSIA RUSSIA

Is that where you are moving to if Trump loses?




Gosh I wonder what changed to make trump go from 2 to 1 favorite to an actual dog in like 2 days.

So weird. A true mystery.


by Gorgonian k

538 has had trump leading for weeks now.

had harris + 2.4 a month ago then a wek ago it was +1.4 now its at +1.0


by checkraisdraw k

is this true?

hurts my if harris wins itll be a landslide in electorates

if hes calling it this confidently an thats a true ssrouce, then trump is indeed a dog, like we all thought he should be coming in. he was never ahead in any polls at any point the last 2 months. iirc he keeps saying 50/50


by Gorgonian k

Gosh I wonder what changed to make trump go from 2 to 1 favorite to an actual dog in like 2 days.

So weird. A true mystery.

And to think there was absolutely no reason whatsoever to have a rally in NYC lol the only reason he did it was out of vanity


by the pleasure k

had harris + 2.4 a month ago then a wek ago it was +1.4 now its at +1.0

538 has had trump ahead since October 18th.



by Gorgonian k

538 has had trump ahead since October 18th.

Shouldnt national polling be taken in account


by the pleasure k

Shouldnt national polling be taken in account

National polling is taken into account in 538's election forecasts.



This is how I strongly think it goes down. PA and NV is prolly the only one you guys would question, I actually think trump is having a huge late surge in NV. I think arizona goes same as 2020.

Trump will prolly win 1 or 2 of the 9 swing states. those being NC and NV


I'm just glad that we'll finally have something to actually look at 48 hours from now. There are a lot of perfectly reasonable-sounding takes on where things might actually stand, but I need to see it. I just can't get there with any projection.


In other news, I just found out my kids dont have school November 5th, so I have to take off and watch them all day. The way I am feeling now, I might just find out who is responsible for this and line vote the opposite party down the ballot.


At a Danny elfman concert right now and the opening act who ive never heard of had the actual audacity to say ‘if you know this song sing along’


by StoppedRainingMen k

Whatever happens, I have a very hard time believing Shapiro would have mattered

I think kamala made the right call picking the most unoffensive running mate possible who also carried the folksy good ol boy flyover **** biden had

She was sleep deprived when she picked Walz. Although not sure if she picked him or the establishment picked him for her.


by checkraisdraw k

Trust collage polls


by housenuts k

She was sleep deprived when she picked Walz. Although not sure if she picked him or the establishment picked him for her.

Shapiro in the summer was polling astronimicaly high before all the dirt got aired. Someone said hes unfavorable in PA now but he was, iirc, extremely viewed highly in the early into mid summer months.

Harris wins MI no matter what, I dont think wayne county gets to 30% for trump or he gets the 45% of oakland county chunk that he needs regardless. I think MI was never in play for Trump but PA was absolutely on the table.
I do beliee that any other red candidate prolly polls way better in PA than trump


by checkraisdraw k

I hear a lot of conspiracies at work. I usually respond by presenting them the conspiracy and the “official story” side by side and asking them which one seems more likely. The response I get a lot of the time is “well yeah but *conspiracy* could be true, and it makes sense to me”.

I think this generally aligns with a lot of people’s epistemic practices, but it is anecdotal so I could be wrong.

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On another note I saw this meme and tho

LMAO it is but probably not for the reasons you think. its actually normal for left wingers to get more left as time goes on. that's why its called progress . conservatives by definition stay the same. thats why the older you get the more conservative you are on average


Shapiro was like the Tim Kaine pick of 2024. But yeah if she loses PA by like 20k votes people will look back on that as what lost the election, rightly or wrongly.

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