NCAA Basketball Thread 2024-2025
Quick OP here just to get us up and running
Things to watch for this year:
1. Can UConn 3-peat? Hurley won back to back championships with Clingan, Tristen Newton, and company. Can he make it a third with only one returning starter?
2. Who will be this years national player of the year? Zach Edey was the best player I've seen play college basketball in my lifetime. People throw the term generational talent around alot and Edey was truly a generational talent winning back to back national player of the year awards. But, now he's gone. So who can win the award?
- the 5th year guards in Mark Sears(Alabama) and RJ Davis(UNC) are a good spot to start. Both elite shooters and engines of an offense, they should lead two really good teams.
- the 5th year centers in Hunter Dickinson(Kansas) and Ryan Kallbrenner(Creighton) are also viable options. They'll be the anchors to what should be two really good teams.
- The phenoms: Cooper Flagg(Duke), Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper(Rutgers), VJ Edgecombe(Baylor), and Tre Johnson(Texas) lead a loaded freshman class.
3. Who are the contenders?
Spoiler
Lettuce college basketball
Michigan taking Cal behind the woodshed
BBN up against it vs #271 Colgate at Rupp (on ESPN2)
at the half
33.9 possessions
UK: 1.12 ppp
CU: 1.06 ppp
0.06 diff
Look, Kentucky has issues with toothpaste
IU, a football school, down to Corn (on FOX)
at the half
35.9 possessions
Corn: 1.23 ppp
IU: 1.14 ppp
0.09 diff
If you lose 30 or 40 to nothing on fast break points can you win? Cats/Cards.
#1 Rocky Top head to Champaign and a B1G battle breaks out; 45 total first half FTAs (on FOX)
Tenn w an impressive 50.0 OR%
at the half
35.2 possessions
Rocky Top: 0.88 ppp
Illinois: 0.85 ppp
0.03 diff
lig,
How do you get a decimal point in the number for possessions? Seems to me, you either possess the ball or you don't.
Thanks
lig,
How do you get a decimal point in the number for possessions? Seems to me, you either possess the ball or you don't.
Thanks
FTs throw a monkey in the wrench
here's kenpom's forumula: Possessions = (FGA-OR) + TOs + (0.475)(FTAs)
do the calculation for each team, add those two numbers together, and then divide by two
on kenpom's site you'll see a whole number but that is bc he's already rounded up (or down) that final number
here's kenpom talking about the FT issue in 2004
https://kenpom.com/blog/the-possession/
i have a spreadsheet where i just plug in the numbers. here is my calc from the Rocky Top halftime
Thanks,
Blog makes sense but also reminds me that there are a lot of smarter people in this world than me. :p
SEC is 30-4 against the ACC this season
that has to be a record of some kind?
SEC is unreal stupid this year. There is no game on UK's SEC schedule I am completely comfortable in predicting a win. I mean in theory UK is ranked #4 and should handle South Carolina at home.
But I can't really say that after South Carolina just beat Clemson who beat UK. If any SEC team ends the regular season with u4.5 SEC losses they should immediately be the favorite to ship it
This years version of the SEC is potentially the greatest conference of all time. Oklahoma just beat Michigan tonight to remain undefeated. South Carolina, universally regarded as the worst team in the conference, just went to Clemson and beat them on the road.
This years version of the SEC is potentially the greatest conference of all time. Oklahoma just beat Michigan tonight to remain undefeated. South Carolina, universally regarded as the worst team in the conference, just went to Clemson and beat them on the road.
Gonna stop you somewhat partially there. The South Carolina Clempson game was at South Carolina.
But yeah radio show of UK homers broke down the UK schedule and the results ranged from 11-7 to 13-5. 13-5 homer said at least two of his win picks were likely due to homerism
Also, if you remove preseason priors on Torvik, SEC has 7 of the top 23 teams
Drake wins at K State to go 10-0.
Might have something going.
man Auburn is a beast right now
29 years of data for KenPom and Auburn is now up to 5th all time
How did Avila end up at Saint Louis? No one would pay him?
Jim Larranga stepping down. Sounds like it’s effective immediately.
Leonard Hamilton will put this number over 5,000 wins
def a legend
that said, i found this funny
