NCAA Football 2025

Yep. I feel sorry for anyone who actually believes him.

Ref should have said “you want a timeout or a 15 yard unsportsmanlike?”
It should have been one or the other.

I still can't believe Michigan got manhandled on both sides of the ball by one of the softest teams in the conference and now I'm jealous of Texas fans. Not my favorite year.

RIP Franklin. You'd say PSU deserved better but, ya know

That escalated quickly. I mean, that really got out of hand:

14-21 when USF punted with 0:40 left in the 1st half

42-21 3:30 into the 2nd half

8 turnovers (3 - 5) by 3:30 into the 2nd half, 5 of which led to/were quick tds. Looking at the box score, I'm shocked there were 7 punts.

yeah, i'm curious to see how goldenbears breaks this one down
props to windiana, came into autzen and controlled both sides of the line. the pick six made it look even closer than it was

tOSU seems like the clear #1 to me, but its crazy that we're sitting here and 3 living, breathing AP voters said IU was the best football team in the country. Wild world we live in

You officiated in the game?

I think several B1G 10-2 teams are in trouble:

Illinois:
W a Duke
W Western Michigan
L a Indiana
W USC
W a Purdue
L Ohio State
a Washington
Rutgers
Maryland
a Wisconsin
Northwestern

I think they have a pretty good shot at 10-2. Washington and/or USC should finish ranked, Duke could easily finish ranked and two losses to two top-5 teams. Losing by 53 is not a good look though.

Nebraska:

W a Cincinnati
W Akron
W #N/A
L Michigan
W Michigan State
W a Maryland
a Minnesota
Northwestern
USC
a UCLA
a Penn State
Iowa

They dodge Oregon, Indiana and Ohio State. The wins haven't exactly been convincing. If Cincy can finish ranked that would help a lot.

But, who else can they realistically lose to? Minnesota, Northwestern or UCLA would be a bad loss. Penn State or Iowa isn't a great loss either and it would be so late in the season. USC would be a fine loss but it would deprive them of their only top-25 win opportunity.

10-2 is 10-2, but I have Nebraska as < 50% if they go 10-2, behind multiple 9-3 SEC teams and also behind every other 10-2 B1G team

Washington:

W Colorado State
W #N/A
W a Washington State
L Ohio State
W a Maryland
W Rutgers
a Michigan
Illinois
a Wisconsin
Purdue
a UCLA
Oregon

Washington remains one of my biggest playoff longs. I have them at 85% to go at 10-2 which gives them 20% odds to playoff compared with Vegas 13%/9% odds.

It would really help them if the Oregon game was after Illinois so that they don't run a big risk of losing the last game of the season. I think Washington is extremely underrated.

I think I outlined their issues last week - if they win 2/3 Michigan/Illinois/Oregon, they're in good shape, and they'll have a h2h tiebreak over two and a lost h2h tiebreak over the 3rd.

If we get 11-1/12-0 Ohio State and Indiana in the title as projected, then you have a logjam behind them. There will only be 2-3 spots available for Oregon, Washington, USC, Michigan, Illinois and Nebraska. (Now you see why I think Nebraska is in trouble)

It's obviously not likely to happen, but the B1G has so many bad teams that there is a good chance of a logjam at 10-2

Oregon:
W #N/A
W Oklahoma State
W a Northwestern
W Oregon State
W a Penn State
L Indiana
a Rutgers
Wisconsin
a Iowa
Minnesota
USC
a Washington

I think Oregon is still in good shape because of brand name and situational memory. The Oklahoma State beatdown occurred before we realized they might go 1-11. The Penn State win was huge at the time. We didn't realize Oregon State is also staring at 2-10.

The committee tends ot be better at evaluating from scratch, so I wouldn't be surprised if Oregon is lower there than in the polls.

beating USC or Washington helps with the logjam, and I think they probably almost always get in.

The best 10-2 scenario for them is losing @ Iowa, then beating both USC and Washington and thinning the B1G field massively.

I still have them at about 90% to get in at 10-2.

I also believe almost every 10-2 ACC team except Miami (and Pitt if they somehow pulled it off) is in a lot of trouble.

my view on GT remains the same - if they lose 2 ACC games and beat UGA, they're in good shape. If they lose 1 ACC game and lose to UGA, they are probably out if they lose the ACCCG as well.

Louisville is in bad shape, I just don't see which game they could lose. If they lose to Miami, they won't have any good wins, and if they lose any other game, they'll have another devastating loss. Their main path is to beat Miami and get into the ACCCG and win the conference. The Kentucky game is irrelevant in that scenario.

thanks GB!

B-12 same as last week:

11-1 and losing in the B12CG is almost definitely good enough, 10-2 and losing in the B12CG is almost definitely not

The conference just annihilates itself with 9 conf games, an extra arizona/ksu game, and then a tiny number of marquee OOC games.

the biggest OOC wins are Utah over UCLA and Iowa State over Iowa, and those aren't moving the needle much.

Also, given USF > UNT and Tulane > ECU, it's not too early to start talking about the possibility of 2 teams getting in from the AAC

Memphis, Tulane and USF have wins over Arkansas, Duke, Northwestern, Boise State and Florida and losses only to Miami and Ole Miss. (and Navy has a shot to pick up the biggest win of them all against ND)

If things break right, and those teams all win out (minus the loser of Memphis/Tulane), then they'll be ranked as well.

Things that could go very right for them:
- 10-2 ranked Duke

- 7-5 Northwestern helps them out with another upset or two to clear out B1G teams

- 7-5 Florida helps them out by clearing out some SEC teams

- Navy beating ND, and ND clearing out USC

- 5-7 Arkansas upsetting a couple more SEC contenders

- 11-2 Boise State clearing out any other MWC contenders and maybe getting ranked

Memphis/Tulane and Memphis/USF loser staying ranked

I'm intrigued what happens if like Georgia tech goes unbeaten gets thrashed by Georgia and then loses acc championship game.

Utah has looked great outside getting beatdown by Texas tech

FOOTBALL EVERY DAY

TUESDAY
7:00:00 PM New Mexico State 11
7:00:00 PM Liberty -10.5

7:30:00 PM Arkansas State 7
7:30:00 PM South Alabama -6.5

8:00:00 PM Florida International 8.5
8:00:00 PM Western Kentucky -7.5

WEDNESDAY
7:00:00 PM Delaware -2.5
7:00:00 PM Jacksonville State 3

7:00:00 PM UTEP -2.5
7:00:00 PM Sam Houston 3

THURSDAY
7:30:00 PM Tulsa 16.5
7:30:00 PM East Carolina -16.5

FRIDAY
7:00:00 PM Louisville 13.5
7:00:00 PM Miami -12.5
As described in the playoff section above, I think Louisville's playoff hopes likely hinge on this game. Miami can certainly afford a loss, but national TV as the only game on is probably not where you'd want to pick it up.

8:00:00 PM Nebraska -7.5
8:00:00 PM Minnesota 7.5
Both teams are 2-1 in the B1G and harbor faint hopes of making a run at it. Nebraska avoids Indiana, Oregon and Ohio State, so their odds are somewhat more realistic.

9:00:00 PM San Jose State 4.5
9:00:00 PM Utah State -4

10:30:00 PM North Carolina 11.5
10:30:00 PM California -10.5
Come to watch the latest episode of the Bill Belichick trainwreck, stay for JKS

SATURDAY
12:00:00 PM Army 10
12:00:00 PM Tulane -9.5

12:00:00 PM LSU 2.5
12:00:00 PM Vanderbilt -2.5
Your eyes do not deceive you. Top-10 LSU is dogged to Vanderbilt. Vandy is coming off a bye, while LSU's defense has continued to play well and their offense has continued to sputter. Both teams are 5-1 with 1 SEC loss, so there are massive playoff implications.

12:00:00 PM Arizona 2.5
12:00:00 PM Houston -1.5

12:00:00 PM Baylor 3
12:00:00 PM TCU -2.5
More or less an elimination game for both teams

12:00:00 PM UConn 2.5
12:00:00 PM Boston College -1.5

12:00:00 PM Georgia Tech 3
12:00:00 PM Duke -2.5
Absolutely massive, under the radar game. The winner is in the driver's seat for the ACC title game, while the loser is on life support. Duke also plays UVA, while GT does not.

12:00:00 PM Washington 6
12:00:00 PM Michigan -5.5
Michigan wins out they're in, they lose a game they're out, so it's do or die for them. Washington has 1 loss and plays Mich/Ill/Oregon, so they're likely in at 10-2. That is a whole lot easier if they can win here.

12:00:00 PM Central Michigan 5.5
12:00:00 PM Bowling Green -4.5

12:00:00 PM Eastern Michigan 13.5
12:00:00 PM Miami (OH) -12.5

12:45:00 PM Oklahoma -4.5
12:45:00 PM South Carolina 4.5
I think OU is often in at 9-3, but they play 6 incredibly tough games to close, so a loss here would make it nearly impossible.

1:00:00 PM West Virginia 7.5
1:00:00 PM Central Florida -7

2:00:00 PM Kent 25.5
2:00:00 PM Toledo -24.5

2:30:00 PM Buffalo -16.5
2:30:00 PM Massachusetts 17.5

3:00:00 PM Troy -6
3:00:00 PM Louisiana-Monroe 6.5

3:00:00 PM Purdue 3.5
3:00:00 PM Northwestern -3

3:30:00 PM Wyoming 5.5
3:30:00 PM Air Force -5.5

3:30:00 PM UNLV 11.5
3:30:00 PM Boise State -10.5
UNLV is undefeated, Boise is the MWC favorite.

3:30:00 PM Coastal Carolina 12.5
3:30:00 PM Appalachian State -11.5

3:30:00 PM Old Dominion 2.5
3:30:00 PM James Madison -1.5
Winner likely books their ticket in the SBCCG. ODU had some outside playoff hopes, but those were dashed when they got smoked by Marshall last week.

3:30:00 PM Texas State -2.5
3:30:00 PM Marshall 3

3:30:00 PM Temple -10.5
3:30:00 PM UNC Charlotte 11.5

3:30:00 PM UTSA 4.5
3:30:00 PM North Texas -4.5

3:30:00 PM Texas A&M -7.5
3:30:00 PM Arkansas 7.5
ATM is undefeated, so they have lots of margin, but they've also got a tough schedule. A loss here would put them in the danger zone.

3:30:00 PM Mississippi 7
3:30:00 PM Georgia -6.5
Massive SEC title implications here, winner of this game is in the driver's seat for one of the bids. (Alabama is in the lead for the other). I have UGA at 79% with a win, 42% with a loss. I have Ole Miss at 90% with a win, 59% with a loss. So almost 70 points of playoff EV up for grabs here

3:30:00 PM SMU 9.5
3:30:00 PM Clemson -9.5
Clemson is probably already dead at 9-3, but they have 3 consecutive home games to show something - SMU, Duke and FSU. SMU lost two games to B12 teams, so that conference is hoping they can do as well as possible. They're also undefeated in the ACC, so very much live to get back to the title game.

3:30:00 PM Michigan State 26.5
3:30:00 PM Indiana -26.5

3:30:00 PM Ohio State -27.5
3:30:00 PM Wisconsin 27.5

3:30:00 PM Akron 1.5
3:30:00 PM Ball State -1.5

3:30:00 PM Northern Illinois 12.5
3:30:00 PM Ohio -11.5

4:00:00 PM Memphis -21
4:00:00 PM UAB 21.5

4:00:00 PM Texas Tech -10.5
4:00:00 PM Arizona State 11.5
Are Morton and Leavitt healthy? ASU needs to win out. Tech needs to keep showing they are a legitimate juggernaut.

4:15:00 PM Mississippi State 10
4:15:00 PM Florida -9.5

5:00:00 PM Southern Miss -3.5
5:00:00 PM Louisiana-Lafayette 4

6:30:00 PM Washington State 17.5
6:30:00 PM Virginia -17.5
Wazzu put a scare into Ole Miss last week - can they build on that? UVA probably needs to either win the ACC or go 11-1 and lose close in the title game. A loss here woudl erase the possibility of the latter.

6:30:00 PM Oregon -17.5
6:30:00 PM Rutgers 17.5
Can Oregon bounce back from a huge loss on the road 3000 miles away?

7:00:00 PM Hawaii 2
7:00:00 PM Colorado State -1.5

7:00:00 PM Georgia State 7
7:00:00 PM Georgia Southern -6.5

7:00:00 PM Texas -11.5
7:00:00 PM Kentucky 12.5

7:00:00 PM Penn State 3.5
7:00:00 PM Iowa -3

7:00:00 PM Maryland 3
7:00:00 PM UCLA -2.5
I mean, UCLA is 2-1 in the B1G and technically still very live. If they put a run together, could we be looking at Coach Jerry? (who even is the interim HC? I know Jerry is just the OC)

7:30:00 PM Florida Atlantic 21.5
7:30:00 PM South Florida -21.5

7:30:00 PM Tennessee 9.5
7:30:00 PM Alabama -7.5
The third Saturday in October. Both teams have 1 loss, so a second one would be a huge setback. I have Tennessee at 53% to playoff with a win and 17% with a loss. I have Bama at 81%/48%. So, 70 points of playoff equity on the line here too.

7:30:00 PM Pittsburgh -10.5
7:30:00 PM Syracuse 11.5
Pitt has a tough schedule, but a win over FSU makes it a little more realistic.

7:30:00 PM USC 8.5
7:30:00 PM Notre Dame -7.5
Absolutely massive game. I have ND at 69% to go with a win, and 0% to go with a loss. USC is 46% with a win, and 8% with a loss. So over 100 points of playoff equity at stake inthis one.

7:45:00 PM Missouri 1.5
7:45:00 PM Auburn 1.5
Auburn has 3 losses, but they're still live if they win out. Mizzou is solid with 1 loss, but needs to win a flip here to keep it plausible.

8:00:00 PM Utah -3.5
8:00:00 PM BYU 3.5
Incredibly big holy war, this will be a fun one. The winner is the clear cut #2 in the B12 with a great shot at the title game. Loser is back in the middle of the pack hoping for a miracle.

8:00:00 PM Cincinnati -21.5
8:00:00 PM Oklahoma State 22.5

9:45:00 PM Nevada 10.5
9:45:00 PM New Mexico -10

10:30:00 PM Florida State -16.5
10:30:00 PM Stanford 17.5

Washington +5.5 feels like a megalock. fml

Usc notre dame seems to have pretty big cascading effects for others as well.

It really is crazy. What they did at Oregon, the way they controlled that game, it's one of the best victories in Big Ten history to me, let alone Indiana history. That's how a national champion plays football. I'm still not sure about Ohio State, and the sick part is we really won't know about them until they play Indiana in the Big Ten championship game. Arch being fraudulent, Penn State imploding, and Michigan sucking again, means Ohio State basically doesn't play anyone this year. I get that they should still get credit for efficiently taking care of business but it's hard to gauge their true ceiling/potential outside of just reflectively adopting all the media love they're getting. Ohio State vs IU won't just be one of the biggest games in the history of this conference, it will be one of the most intriguing games too. Right now I'd bet on Indiana. We know who they are. They let the college football world know on Saturday in resounding fashion. Ohio State is great becuz people say they're great. Indiana is great becuz they proved it. Given me the proven commodity any day of the week.

Feels like 99% if ND beats USC. All I can say is I hope you're right.

The SC we saw against Michigan can definitely beat ND too. It is beginning to look like the Illinois game was an aberration and a result of many players sick for SC than the old USC. The new SC looks like a legitimate playoff contender. We shall see.

Franklin is owed ~50 million. Someone did the fun math and it's ~20 thousand dollars a day for the next 6 years not to coach.

And supposedly "not to coach" is a key clause in his contract. If he takes another job, they don't have to pay him anymore. It's not clear if that's net less what he's making at the new job or if the payments cease altogether.

If I was him, I'd join a bad ass country club and learn to play golf if he doesn't already know how. But football coaches are definitely wired differently than most humans. (See Bill a Chic)

I would not coach for a lot less than that.

I would imagine Franklin probably has what's called "Offset language" in his deal. That means any dollar he makes elsewhere offsets a dollar PSU would owe him.

That said, yeah, I'm obviously wired different because I'd be enjoying the retirement at that point.

I get it, but it's still a coach making the Final Four getting fired halfway into the next season. What do they think they are going to get? The AD and his blather about getting the best program in the country is just pie-in-the-sky talk.

so far this season the mathematician man named Patricia and his buckeyes anOSU defense have been statistically filthy

but click play for a moment and close your eyes and listen to the swashbuckling voice of Curt Cignetti during this post game interview, specifically when he mentions some people think cookies are better than brownies

think he and Indiana are channeling the ghost of Mike Leach and will be hard to root against from this point forward.
can not wait for when he mentions fat little girlfriends

swing your sword, Curt
in the american spirit of nominative determanism