2025 NFL Game Thread – Week 16

What Rivers is doing is legendary. Ther's no way he should be playing as well as he is. This is like George Foreman winning the heavyweing crown in his 50s. Too bad Indy's defense is total ass.....giving up two firsts for Sauce lol.....just a horrible move.

This may be too much for old man Rivers

Eli Apple is still in the league???

I'm surprised that his mother has allowed him to play this long.

Damn! That DL is huge! He's bigger than Rivers!

omr got em right where he wants them

edit: jk, it's bedtime

Everybody in Circa Survivor lives on to week 17a.

One contestant had a brief sweat tonight with the 9ers, very brief.

Joe Buck wrong as usual about the Colts being eliminated with a loss

so you’re telling me

narrator:

yeah, no

go for 2 makes it 49, just sayin

Dead Man Rivers

Thursday going to be interesting. Probably 5 pick Dallas, and the other 5 pick Minny.

LOL Circa not letting them save $1M and play for $870K.

Not everyone of the 5 will take Vikings, just for GTO reasons.

Kittle hurt his ankle and Kyle still can’t manage a double digit lead in the 4q of big games.

Nobody has Detroit or Denver left. One has KC. If you’re a billionaire, you take Washington and bet five mil on Dallas.

But Washington has been under the radar horrible due to the atrocities in Vegas & Jersey. A lot of seasons they'd be WITL.

Right, but only GaryA already used Commanders.

If the other 4 all go Vikings they are giving up way too much win equity.

I got a write up in SB Survivor thread.

I'll post the GTO strategy. I suspect it's 3 Vikings 2 Commanders, but it could be 4-1. The money lines in those 2 games are reasonably close, no vig Pinny Vikings +230 and Commanders +260.

And yes, anybody not hedging is missing some major EG. Less bankroll they have, more hedge they should bet.

What happens here if you multiple people take Washington and they win though?

5 Dal
4 Wsh
1 Min

Possibly one WSH person flips to MIN but they would be giving up a lot of ev.

Correct. I posted the contestants' EV values in the Survivor SB thread.

GOAT Nit: McManus throughout the book emphasizes that the Rolling Stones are his favorite band, yet he did not title it Exile On Fifth Street.

Feels dumb to gamble that much when you can lock up a huge sum by not betting $5M on Dallas though if Commanders then win and multiple people take them

I'm a seasoned sports analyst and oddsmaker with a proven track record at several top European betting firms. For years, I was on the other side of the counter—the one setting the lines and understanding exactly how the sportsbook works. Now, I use that insider experience and my extensive network in the sports world to offer premium, professional advisory services.

I specialize in soccer and American sports, using a deep analytical approach to spot value and opportunities that others often overlook. My goal is simple: to turn my expertise into a real financial edge for my clients. I give them the high-quality, data-driven insights they need to make smart decisions and win consistently.

Make sure to check out my website where I drop one free pick every single day. Sometimes, you can even score a 100% free lock—that's your ticket to risk-free cash!

v i c t o r y p i c k s . e u


[B]Today I'm handing out a 100%, locked-in guaranteed winner for the NCAA Bowl Games to anyone who wants it.

1. Just send me a message.

2. Please type "FIX" in the subject line of your message. That's it.

You'll receive your free lock within the next 60 minutes at the latest.

*Heads up, some email services automatically filter my messages into the spam folder, so I recommend checking there.

Bijan has 2255 yards from scrimmage this season, 1445 rushing and 810 receiving on 75 catches ... the 16 highest total in history. He may slide into 3rd or even 2nd next week. 250 for 1st.