2024 ELECTION THREAD

Not a very well produced one though

Yeah. That was a weird ad. It essentially amounted to a reminder that his last name is Kennedy.

7 million paid by superpac

You never saw Mad Men?

Polymarkets and Betfair

found a clip on Twitter

https://twitter.com/Huberton/status/1756...

care to wager a dollar on that?

in all likelihood he will never be president, but in this political climate his odds are not 1 in 5,000 and i will get in line behind rickroll if you want to bet that. ironically, cnn watchers hate him the most and deride him as kook fringe conspiracy nut who no one takes seriously, but he will probably be dems' best friend by stealing a decent chunk of otherwise trump votes a la '92 perot.

Democrats won the by-election to replace Santos in a NYC district 55-45 , with a centrist candidate and a centrist message.

Mayorkas has in fact been impeached after all

Waste of time by the GOP

Uh? the senate will have hearings on it for a while and it will allow the GOP to keep the topic of immigration on the newscycle more often than it would othewise be

Once again the gop is more interested in making issues political ammo instead of making even the slightest attempt of trying to fix the problem.

I think Jon Stewart back on the Comedy Channel nails this election

At the risk of stating the obvious, even if we didn't have to escrow, and even if we all knew the true odds were 10,000 to 1, I wouldn't lay 5000 to 1 odds.

Michele Obama being at 12% now to win it all seems a bit extreme but I have no idea wtf has been going on with her lately.

Obviously for those long odds bets the person laying 5k:1 or whatever has to be the escrow.

low-info Republicans seem absolutely fascinated with the idea of Michelle running for president, no clue why this is.

Not sure either, but I think the demand to bet on Michelle Obama is relatively inelastic among bettors in that group, so if you are a book, you might as well move the odds because it isn't going to kill your action much.

Gets thinner as it goes down obvs. Took it early here, along with Newsome, now currently seeing a more attractive edge laying Biden getting offered 3-1 in some spots

Yeah have come across the type. Deranged AF. Don't know the word but when there's a subset of people that are super cooked who parrot the same (CNN) argument and for some reason it auto steelmans the other side, it would appear to look this way for sideline voters observing RFK Jr without even dissecting his arguments. 5000-1 seems good based on that logic alone lol

This is my electoral college map if the vote were held today. Not authoritative, but based on actual polling and history and sound assumptions.

Biden really needs michigan or georgia . I think he will suffer from voter apathy due to age. Not that people won’t vote for him but a slight decrease in turn out and enthusiasm, similar to John Kerry. Democrats want to live in a country where everyone sees what a fraud/ domestic threat/ selfish narcissistic idiot Trump is and see him lose by 30 points and lose 40 states but we don’t live in that country. instead of that happening dems need to grind out a victory. It’s a math turnout problem where every vote counts.

Nevada going GOP? Apparently the last time that happened was 2004.

it is tilted that way by available polling also the apathy affect.