Want to raise but don't want to raise....but then ran pure w/ AQs
1/3 NLHE 9 handed.
Table - Monday night, a few reg grinders and a few loose passive fish. Most of the fish are unknown to me. Stacks are all about 400-600 with a few short stackers in there trying to double up and leave.
V - Fishy, sunglasses, bought in for 300, lost it, hit the ATM, back in for 300, bled down then ran a heater up to 900 and now has bled down a bit again. He's VPIPing about 50-60%. Passive and calling a lot. I doubled him up (luckily he was bled out a bit and only had 220$ in front at this point) when he had AA and I had KK - he RFI'd 80$ cold over the BB from LJ, folds to me in the SB, I see KK and make it 210, folds to him AI for six bucks more and he shows the AA before I call - he flops top set. 400$ HJ.
H - Was stuck a BI for awhile and is now clawing his way back to even. Hasn't been too tight or too loose. Opened 45s earlier IP over a limp and flopped a straight which saw showdown. Covers SB.
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I think I played this hand really badly but want to get opinions.
Folds to V in HJ who cold opens to 25 (big for the table), folds to H who sees A♣ Q♣ and remembers when V made it 80 with AA so I just call OOP with AK on my brain.
Flop 50 - (375 back) - K♣ T♣ 7♥
I check, he bets 45, I just call (eek?)
Turn 140 - (330 back) - 3♦
I check, he bets 90, I just call
River 320 - (240 back) - 6♣
I lead AI.
Preflop, I might fold to the 8xBB open. 3! seems bad without other reads.
I would bet the river. He likely only bets if he was bluffing all the way. The best flush he can have is QcTc. It seems unlikely he opened that size with a suited connector. He probably bets KK or TT. You could be bluffing with a missed straight draw.
You shouldn't even call many hands from the small blind to a normal raise size in a raked game. Arguably you should not call any. A9s isn't really a good call from SB facing a 3x open, let alone an 8.3x open. Not even vs a fish as you are going to be so dominated when he opens that large.
I don't mind a flat with AQs, but it's a super narrow range we should flat with.
I agree we shouldn't have much if any calling range from the SB in a raked 1/3 game. I'm just wondering if V's raise size changes anything, such that we now have a calling range, and what that looks like. If it's super-narrow, what else is in that range, or what should be in that range?
Like, what are we 3B'ing here? JJ+/AK? It would suck to 3B with QQ, have V jam, we fold, then he shows JJ. It will suck to flat call with AQ and be up against AK on an A-high board.
V's raising $25 off a $400 stack. If we 3B to $100, his most likely response would seem to be jam or fold. That makes me think we'd only want to 3B AA/KK/AKs - mostly hands hoping V will jam, not fold. If we 3B with AQs, and V flat calls, the SPR will be so low going to the flop that we'll be in an awkward spot on a lot of flops.
That's why I'm wondering if hero has some hands like A9s and A5s in his flat calling range, when V is fishy and takes this sizing. Those hands will be easier to get away from on A-high boards and boards we completely miss, but can also make some sneaky 2P or better hands that can stack a fishy V prone to over-playing big PP's and AK.
