Survivor: GENERAL THREAD
I wanted to post something Survivor related but realized there's no general thread about Survivor. Each thread is about a particular season or votes for hottest, best, etc.
Given that who knows when/if the show will come back, here's a general thread to post all things Survivor.
I won't ruin the OP with my content post, so it will come next.
Enjoy and come on in guys!
Ok I was down to one table on the night so I put together where I think the votes stand if it gets to FTC. Bolded are the ones I'm >75% sure of.
Kenzie has a better shot than I was thinking. She definitely has Tiff. I think she has Venus. If Ben or Liz lose at fire, I think she gets their vote. That leaves one vote and she's at worst going to tie. Can she swing one of Tevi/Hunter/Soda?!
Weirdly, Charlie's best bet may be to take Maria. I think he's solidly over her with Q, Tiff, and Kenzie. I think after last night, it's easier for get him to get two more of vs Maria than Kenzie.
Still think it's Charlies game to lose even vs Kenzie, but it's tighter than my gut was saying.
Ok I was down to one table on the night so I put together where I think the votes stand if it gets to FTC. Bolded are the ones I'm >75% sure of.
Kenzie has a better shot than I was thinking. She definitely has Tiff. I think she has Venus. If Ben or Liz lose at fire, I think she gets their vote. That leaves one vote and she's at worst going to tie. Can she swing one of Tevi/Hunter/Soda?!
Weirdly, Charlie's best bet may be to take Maria. I think he's solidly over her with Q, Tiff, and Kenzi
A Kenzie tie vs charlie/Maria surely means a loss as the tiebreaker will pick charlie/Maria rather than Kenzie.
The last 4 or so weeks have in my mind definitely established Kenzie as the winner and Charlie as the decoy winner/end boss.
However compared to S44 and S45 where Yamyam and Dee were my ginormous front runners from as far back as the mid pre merge, this season has been a much better edited one.
and i'm still less confident about Kenzie winning at 5 than I was about Yamyam or Dee winning at like 12.
I think Maria was actually acting semi strategically.
She didn't have the votes to not be voted out 5, although she'd be the favorite to win immunity with no Charlie. Then she'd likely need to beat Kenzie at FTC which is a flip.
If they got Charlie like she thought, she could convince Q to play the idol on her to take out Kenzie at 5 and basically lock up the game. Then she's up vs Q/Ben/Liz which is an auto win
It was a risk, but possibly a calculated one. Was her odds better of winning another
No way Q plays idol for anyone but himself at F5
I would say that arguably Q and Venus's aren't quite as egregious as Tiffany and Hunter as both had next to no jury win equity.
But even then, you literally get more money the higher you finish.
-Play the idol at six
-At five either win immunity, find another idol or just not be the vote and youre in the final four
-At four either win immunity, get taken or win fire and you're in the final 3
-At three even if you are drawing dead to win youre not drawing dead to sneak a runners up money of 100k
It's such a financial no brainer to always play your idol at six if you have one.
You also get win equity with a successful idol play.
They need to put out another idol with a twist so we can see another person pocket it and go home.
HII usable at F5, or can be used as an extra vote at F4. Or 20 second head start at fire making.
But hey, Liz pooped!
I wonder if Liz and Ben know they're drawing dead or do they think "if I can just make it to the jury I have a compelling case."
Ben probably knows
Liz is delusional
Boston Rob was asked if he would go back on survivor if asked for season 50
Spoiler
“I love Survivor, It’s been a huge part of my life for nearly half of my life now. I don’t feel any desire to go back there and play the game again, especially where they’re just gonna use me for a little bit and vote me out. But who knows? Maybe if there’s a concept change or something I would consider it because they’ve given so much to me over my life, but even though I like to stir up a lot of trouble on social media, don’t believe everything you see posted.”
I wonder if Liz and Ben know they're drawing dead or do they think "if I can just make it to the jury I have a compelling case."
Liz is enough of a clueless snowflake that she probably thinks her actions have shown her in a positive light and is shipping this. For perspective, my wife is someone who goes well out of her way to find the good in everyone, and I mean EVERYONE. But when Charlie picked Liz for the reward my wife screamed "NO!" at the TV at the top of her lungs. That says a lot, or it should.
Fun fact - Bhanu who finished in 15th place still has more confessionals than Ben and the same amount as Liz
I wonder if Liz and Ben know they're drawing dead or do they think "if I can just make it to the jury I have a compelling case."
I think both of them have been playing just to make it to the end from pretty early on. If they had any actual thought of winning, they would have at least tried to work with Venus.
Now that Maria and Q are the darkest people there, we gotsta get this dynamic duo out
Liz may be one of the oddest people they've ever had on here. She like this weird demented Chuckie doll except she looks like Robin Williams in Mork&Mindy.
Liz rules but itt she has committed the cardinal sin of being a woman
Final prediction going into the finale;
-Maria wins immunity at 5 - Charlie boot (Ben choosing to vote with Kensie over Charlie)
-Maria wins immunity at 4 - takes Liz, Kenzie beats Ben at fire
Kenzie wins 5-3-0
Kenzie votes - Ben, Venus, Tiffany, Hunter, Soda
Maria votes - Charlie, Q, Tevin
Liz votes - Applebees
It would be hilarious if they brought in Applebee’s for the reunion instead of pizza.
Looks like they’re filming a USA v Aus Survivor season later this year to air in January.
