2024 Fantasy Football Thread

You need a second cause KC has the bye . If I have Lamar , hurts or Josh Allen I usually only take one qb .

that's a good point

I don’t play on DK but some key differences between ud and dk is that dk only advances 1/6 in the first rd vs 2/6 on UD so teams with bye week players are likely going to not need to be as perfect as on UD where it’s easier to advance bc a lot of those teams will just be eliminated by the time you get to the finals

DK also has a TE position whereas ud is a wr/te flex

I think advance plays are much more important on dk than ud, so you are probably safe taking a 4 team approach (2 nfc / 2 afc) on dk esp with bye week players.

I may be thinking about it incorrectly though

Seems reasonable. Could pull off something like this with 3 teams, if the room allows.

And one once you get out of the pods, DK advance is easier. They’re 1/6 the whole way whereas UD is 1/10 in the 2nd/3rd rounds. UD finals is slightly smaller.

You also want to avoid drafting players on the same team who will play in the WC round, and ideally in the divisional round too, but that’s tougher to predict/avoid.

It's really hard to get a 3-team. Here's two 4-teams

BUF, BAL, MIN, PHI

Allen, Darnold
Jones, Hill, Ty
Flowers, Devonta, Addison, Coleman, Nailor
Hock, Knox

KC, TB, DET, PHI

Mahomes, Baker
Barkley, Irving, Monty
Evans, Hollywood, Patrick, McMillan, Watson
Kelce, Otton

I’ve gotten basically a full eagles / bills lineup without a qb though . So no clue how that will do if I make the finals .

I also have a few full or close to full bills stacks .

Just got offered Cooper Kupp for 2.1 in a dynasty league . Is Kupp washed ? He seems to be .

I would be on 2.1 well over Kupp imo

Maxed all the low money contests on UD

Do these exposures look normal? (I was too high on Texans and Pitt earlier on, barely drafted them later unless it was last 2 rds and needed advance rate pcs)

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This is what I'm kind of stuck on. Like how much should I be going after players on teams I think have no chance of making the Super Bowl (like the Texans and Steelers). Just because they don't have the final round upside doesn't mean I won't need someone like Nico Collins to get past the first round.

My preference lately has been to take more of those advance rate guys on the nfc side bc I think there’s more of a chance that Det/phi/min miss the Super Bowl than KC/Buf/Bal and also the games are more likely to be high scoring. That opinion has shifted mostly bc of how good Baltimore has been down the stretch and how many injuries Det has (I’m also not really a believer in min as a contender even though I like their coach, offense, and defense. Just a gut feeling - I still have like 14% jones and 10% of JJ/Addison, so not full fading or anything)

Which means I’ve mostly been drafting bucs/rams/packers/commanders as advance rate guys (whichever I think is least likely to play my main nfc team and also the point in the draft when I know I need those pcs)

I’ve sprinkled in some chargers but Ladd has gotten too expensive so it’s less easy

But as you can see i draft a lot of Det/KC (I’m playing mostly as though Det gets the bye) so im more likely to need advance rate guys. If I go Allen/Hurts/Lamar and don’t stack w KC /Det, I usually just go 1-2 additional best teams that I can stack and avoid adv rate pcs (although ADP and likely rd1&2 matchups has made that tougher now)

From teams that are most likely to make deep runs, and hopefully to the SB, your exposures look pretty good. But this contest seems to be all about hoping your combos support each other along the way, which you guys are alluding to with the balance of advance rate pieces versus pieces that will still be live in the later rounds. I'll be interested to hear how you guys do.

I'm saving my draft itch for the pre-draft contests. I'm planning to max the Big Board. And will also max the Little Board too.

Herzig posted a 45 minute playoff best ball video earlier today. He spent time on both UD and DK.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H0PRm_ck...

Gonna check that video out hopefully I learn something from it .

Kupp is a tough read. The end of the season hasn't been the best, but I'm not sure he's washed. Puka is obviously a problem and Kupp is clearly not the number 1 guy anymore. But he can still be a reasonable #2 and has a **** ton of contingent upside if Puka goes down, assuming he remains with the Rams and assuming Stafford doesn't retire. And I lean both of those two things to be true for now.

The Rams as a whole haven't been doing much on offense lately. Since the Bills game explosion, they've only scored 12, 19, and 13, so not being the #1 target plus the offense not moving the ball and putting up points has made it not look good for Kupp.

With that said, I'd probably be looking for a different profile to move that pick, since it'll still be highly valued, at least for now.

I'm certainly no scout and get most of my rookie information from box scores, advanced stats, and listening to the opinions of those who do grind film, but this draft looks like it could completely suck for fantasy, and specifically dynasty, outside of the top few guys.

In a lot of years, there are enough irl first round draft picks to fill out a full 12 team first round of a dynasty league; sometimes with guys leftover for the early 2nd. I do not think that'll be the case this year. A lot of late first, 2nd, and 3rd round dynasty rookie picks will be chasing day 2/day 3 situational RBs, given that's where the depth is in this class. And that can be pretty fragile. Look no further than Brooks, Corum, Benson, and Wright this season, just to name a few.

Right now, I think the irl draft first round picks are guaranteed to include.

QB: Cam, Shadeur
RB: Jeanty
WR: Tet, Egbuka, Burden
TE: Loveland, Warren

So that's 8 total first round skill position players, with 2 being TEs. Maybe another player or 2 sneaks into the back of the first.

Hunter will certainly be drafted in the top 5, but I'm not sure what to do with him for now with regards to fantasy.

I'm really trying to switch my mind out of the rookie goldmine from this season as we enter 2025 draft season and not just blindly chase rookies for the sake of unknown upside.

Per pff there are a bunch of v good RBs that they have first/2nd round grades on behind Jeanty (real draft, so even stronger profiles bc pff doesn’t grade RBs that high normally), so those guys will probably jump into the list. Pff isn’t the best but they are pretty good at predicting good RBs

Scattabo from ASU looked good yesterday . Idk if he has nfl upside .

Yeah, it's possible guys like Omarion, Kaleb, TreVeyon, etc. sneak into the back of the first, depending on the combine and how things shake out between now and April. But for now, I lean Jeanty being the only irl first round back taken.

Obviously guys taken on day 2 can still do very well, and I do expect there to be plenty of day 2 RBs taken, so there will a lot to choose from and landing spots will decide dynasty values. But you're not excited to use a late first/early 2nd on them.

With that said, I think this is about to be great for best ball. Especially if guys like Saquon, Henry, Mixon, Jacobs, Cook, etc. are pushed up in ADP compared to last season. Some of those rookies will likely smash as the season goes along. But good luck picking the right ones in dynasty drafts haha.

Right now he's projected as a day 3 pick. He's a power back who can catch, so there is certainly a role for him in the NFL.

It’s so hard to do playoff best ball when you start a stack and a guy just jumps in and takes your players lol . It’s literally luck dependent on your draft room.

Playoff best ball sounds miserable. If you are gonna do it you need to play a ton of teams. Unfortunately that is just a horrible investment of money and time.

If I were to do a team I would go heavy Bengals. I predicted weeks ago they would make the playoffs. Denver will choke against the KC back ups. I'm predicting a huge game by Wentz. The Bengals in the playoffs could be very dangerous and obviously very low owned.

I would love nothing more than for KC to beat DEN, but CIN still needs Miami to lose to the Jets.

That ain't happening.

I like it if DET gets the 2 seed, and obviously makes the SB.

Goff, Stroud
Gibbs, Mixon, Hill, Najee
ARSB, Jamo, Nico, Hollywood
Hock, Schultz

Det can either get the 1 or 5, but think you need them to be the 1 seed in this build to have a shot in the Super Bowl

If they are the 1 seed he’s missing a ton of guys round 1.

Yeah I meant to say 5 seed. With only 1 team advancing on DK, it's probably better if DET is the 5 seed. If they're the 1 seed, I'll only have 1 WR in R1 lol