Question about river calls
Hi!
I'm going through my last year's stats in HM3 and found out that I'm consistently losing making river calls OOP and winning making them IP.
Does anyone have an possible hypothesis for this?
I play PLO100-200 6max.
Riv call efficiency OOP 0.98; riv call win% OOP 37.1
Riv call efficiency IP 1.41; riv call win% IP 48.7
Riv call OOP graph:
Riv call IP graph:
Thanks in advance!
15 Replies
What do you think it means?
Sorry if I;m missing it but is this filtered for just hu by river, multiyway or both?
Could be a couple things. Your pool heavily underbluffs rivers in general and you may be overcalling in a number of spots where bluffs are very scarce.
Potentially could be a slight range reading problem from turn to river and maybe you're under estimating how much value they have in their river range?
Rivers are also a bit tougher given sample size is less than previous streets given we obv get to the river less.
Just because we disagree on solver philosophy doesn't mean I don't respect your work and would likely consider you my toughest opponent in most lineups. I value your analysis more highly than about 95% of the people who post here.
Could it be that the IP calling node is different from OOP because we don't have the need to split our range in order to arrive to river call spot?
So a losing OOP river call would mean we are taking too many strong hands to our river betting range, leaving our checking range too weak?
Isn't this just how positions work?
To make a river call OOP, you must check.
IP, your river action is uncapped when facing a bet.
That isn't necessarily the case. I don't know the filtered used here, but this thread could be including times the Hero bet OOP and got raised for which he called instead of re-raising because he didn't have the nuts. So along with Check-Calls, maybe Hero Bet-Calls too much.
But I agree that being out of position is difficult and will produce worse results than in position in any part of playing poker.
That isn't necessarily the case. I don't know the filtered used here, but this thread could be including times the Hero bet OOP and got raised for which he called instead of re-raising because he didn't have the nuts. So along with Check-Calls, maybe Hero Bet-Calls too much.
But I agree that being out of position is difficult and will produce worse results than in position in any part of playing poker.
The filter for first graph is HM3 "River Check-Call"
The filter for 2nd graph is HM3 "River call", which should not count the check-call nor the bet-call scenarios.
I don't have any conclusions. When I first read this, I thought I had insights, but the more I thought about it, the more complicated it got. Just so you know, I have a small database, and both of mine were negative and looked very similar to each other. It was very informative to look at the individual hands in these nodes though, at least for me, and I will comment on that below.
-----
I started thinking about this from the land of GTO. If the solver was in this node - calling oop or calling ip on the river, what would their expected profit look like? I think it is zero. I don't believe this node is meant to be a source of profit, but it's defensive to prevent your opponents from bluffing too often against you and showing a massive profit.
So, if that is our starting point and how we view this node, then what is happening with your results? One, the results are not very informative since the sample is small. If the expectation is zero, then variance will dominate the results. Two, the asymmetry between the nodes for you speaks more towards imbalances on earlier streets than it does about the node or the river play. When I investigated my play in these nodes, I found most of my hands involved big mistakes on the turn, putting me in situations on the river I shouldn't have been facing.
For you to be making so much in position, you are arriving in this situation with MUCH too strong of a range. It's uncommon for opponents to lead out on the river after playing passively on the turn, so you are probably checking behind the turn with too many hands. It's hard to say without looking at hands, though. The huge losses out of position make me think you are building big pots on the flop and turning and then putting yourself into tricky situations on the river in big pots.
I assume there are imbalances in play here. It's hard to comment much more without specific hands or other stats, but that is my conclusion—this stat has highlighted that you are misplaying earlier streets in both situations.
I think you should post 5-10 hands from each position without any commentary - just bulk post them (numbered) in this thread.
Thank you for the response, much appreciated!
As requested, I'll post some hands:
OOP hands (river c/call filter, same as 1st graph; I chose randomly from >30bb pots):
1.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $153.99 (154 bb)
Hero (SB): $166.58 (166.6 bb)
BB: $124.30 (124.3 bb)
UTG: $541.59 (541.6 bb)
MP: $100.00 (100 bb)
CO: $95.63 (95.6 bb)
Hero posts SB $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 9
9
T
8
2 folds, CO calls $1.00, fold, Hero calls $0.50, BB checks
Flop: ($3.00, 3 players) 2
Q
9
Hero bets $2.25, fold, CO calls $2.25
Turn: ($7.50, 2 players) 6
Hero bets $7.50, CO raises to $30.00, Hero calls $22.50
River: ($67.50, 2 players) A
Hero checks, CO bets $62.38 and is all-in, Hero calls $62.38
Results: $192.26 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 2
Q
9
6
A
CO shows Q
3
4
Q
: (Three of a Kind, Queens)
(Pre 67%, Flop 79%, Turn 78%)
Hero shows 9
9
T
8
: (Three of a Kind, Nines)
(Pre 33%, Flop 21%, Turn 23%)
CO wins $187.76
2.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $100.00 (100 bb)
SB: $52.32 (52.3 bb)
Hero (BB): $126.00 (126 bb)
UTG: $109.78 (109.8 bb)
MP: $124.09 (124.1 bb)
CO: $95.03 (95 bb)
SB posts $0.50, Hero posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has T
T
5
4
3 folds, BTN raises to $3.40, fold, Hero calls $2.40
Flop: ($7.30, 2 players) 5
T
J
Hero checks, BTN bets $5.55, Hero calls $5.55
Turn: ($18.40, 2 players) J
Hero checks, BTN bets $11.99, Hero calls $11.99
River: ($42.38, 2 players) K
Hero checks, BTN bets $13.99, Hero calls $13.99
Results: $70.36 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 5
T
J
J
K
BTN shows J
A
A
6
: (Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 65%, Flop 36%, Turn 15%)
Hero shows T
T
5
4
: (Full House, Tens full of Jacks)
(Pre 35%, Flop 64%, Turn 85%)
Hero wins $65.86
3.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $103.10 (103.1 bb)
SB: $18.62 (18.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $139.16 (139.2 bb)
UTG: $191.72 (191.7 bb)
MP: $55.50 (55.5 bb)
CO: $259.66 (259.7 bb)
SB posts $0.50, Hero posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 9
A
T
J
fold, MP raises to $2.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $8.00, MP calls $5.50
Flop: ($16.50, 2 players) T
J
7
Hero checks, MP checks
Turn: ($16.50, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, MP bets $12.38, Hero calls $12.38
River: ($41.26, 2 players) J
Hero checks, MP bets $35.12 and is all-in, Hero calls $35.12
Results: $111.50 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: T
J
7
7
J
MP shows J
Q
K
9
: (Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 41%, Flop 51%, Turn 38%)
Hero shows 9
A
T
J
: (Full House, Jacks full of Tens)
(Pre 59%, Flop 49%, Turn 63%)
Hero wins $107.00
4.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $71.54 (71.5 bb)
Hero (SB): $100.00 (100 bb)
BB: $34.49 (34.5 bb)
UTG: $303.74 (303.7 bb)
MP: $100.00 (100 bb)
CO: $107.76 (107.8 bb)
Hero posts SB $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has T
4
5
A
3 folds, BTN calls $1.00, Hero raises to $4.00, BB calls $3.00, BTN calls $3.00
Flop: ($12.00, 3 players) T
K
J
Hero bets $3.96, fold, BTN calls $3.96
Turn: ($19.92, 2 players) 6
Hero bets $16.00, BTN calls $16.00
River: ($51.92, 2 players) A
Hero checks, BTN bets $25.96, Hero calls $25.96
Results: $103.84 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: T
K
J
6
A
BTN shows 7
3
Q
J
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 45%, Flop 63%, Turn 60%)
Hero shows T
4
5
A
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 55%, Flop 37%, Turn 40%)
Hero wins $99.34
5.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $100.00 (100 bb)
SB: $127.26 (127.3 bb)
BB: $75.94 (75.9 bb)
Hero (UTG): $243.36 (243.4 bb)
MP: $32.31 (32.3 bb)
CO: $135.35 (135.4 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 7
J
7
T
Hero raises to $3.50, fold, CO raises to $12.00, 3 folds, Hero calls $8.50
Flop: ($25.50, 2 players) J
8
3
Hero checks, CO checks
Turn: ($25.50, 2 players) A
Hero checks, CO bets $25.50, Hero calls $25.50
River: ($76.50, 2 players) 4
Hero checks, CO bets $76.50, Hero calls $76.50
Results: $229.50 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: J
8
3
A
4
CO shows Q
9
A
7
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 53%, Flop 56%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows 7
J
7
T
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 47%, Flop 44%, Turn 0%)
CO wins $225.00
6.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $100.00 (100 bb)
SB: $96.62 (96.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $125.23 (125.2 bb)
UTG: $95.40 (95.4 bb)
MP: $123.06 (123.1 bb)
CO: $186.29 (186.3 bb)
SB posts $0.50, Hero posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has K
4
A
J
3 folds, BTN raises to $3.50, fold, Hero calls $2.50
Flop: ($7.50, 2 players) 7
K
Q
Hero checks, BTN bets $5.63, Hero calls $5.63
Turn: ($18.76, 2 players) J
Hero checks, BTN bets $18.76, Hero calls $18.76
River: ($56.28, 2 players) 5
Hero checks, BTN bets $42.21, Hero calls $42.21
Results: $140.70 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 7
K
Q
J
5
BTN shows T
T
Q
8
: (Flush, King High)
(Pre 49%, Flop 18%, Turn 18%)
Hero shows K
4
A
J
: (Flush, King High)
(Pre 51%, Flop 82%, Turn 83%)
Hero wins $136.20
7.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $64.36 (64.4 bb)
SB: $100.00 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $102.00 (102 bb)
UTG: $473.49 (473.5 bb)
MP: $104.82 (104.8 bb)
CO: $44.48 (44.5 bb)
SB posts $0.50, Hero posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 8
T
4
A
2 folds, CO calls $1.00, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, CO calls $2.50
Flop: ($7.50, 2 players) 4
9
4
Hero bets $2.48, CO calls $2.48
Turn: ($12.46, 2 players) K
Hero bets $7.00, CO calls $7.00
River: ($26.46, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, CO bets $26.46, Hero calls $26.46
Results: $79.38 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 4
9
4
K
7
CO shows 3
K
9
K
: (Full House, Kings full of Fours)
(Pre 51%, Flop 19%, Turn 98%)
Hero shows 8
T
4
A
: (Three of a Kind, Fours)
(Pre 49%, Flop 81%, Turn 3%)
CO wins $74.88
8.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $85.26 (85.3 bb)
SB: $100.00 (100 bb)
BB: $112.23 (112.2 bb)
Hero (UTG): $295.39 (295.4 bb)
MP: $204.65 (204.7 bb)
CO: $132.50 (132.5 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has T
J
T
J
Hero raises to $3.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $3.50, 2 folds
Flop: ($8.50, 2 players) 5
K
7
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($8.50, 2 players) T
Hero bets $6.38, BTN calls $6.38
River: ($21.26, 2 players) Q
Hero checks, BTN bets $21.26, Hero calls $21.26
Results: $63.78 pot ($3.73 rake)
Final Board: 5
K
7
T
Q
BTN shows 8
A
J
T
: (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 35%, Flop 18%, Turn 20%)
Hero shows T
J
T
J
: (Three of a Kind, Tens)
(Pre 65%, Flop 83%, Turn 80%)
BTN wins $58.55
9.
GG Poker - $2 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $487.00 (243.5 bb)
SB: $87.93 (44 bb)
Hero (BB): $200.00 (100 bb)
UTG: $395.90 (198 bb)
MP: $243.85 (121.9 bb)
CO: $655.31 (327.7 bb)
SB posts $1.00, Hero posts BB $2.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $3.00) Hero has 9
A
A
Q
fold, MP raises to $7.00, CO calls $7.00, 2 folds, Hero raises to $29.00, MP calls $22.00, CO calls $22.00
Flop: ($88.00, 3 players) J
J
7
Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks
Turn: ($88.00, 3 players) 4
Hero bets $29.04, fold, CO raises to $76.08, Hero calls $47.04
River: ($240.16, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, CO bets $120.08, Hero calls $94.92 and is all-in
Results: $430.00 pot ($6.00 rake)
Final Board: J
J
7
4
7
CO shows A
7
5
6
: (Three of a Kind, Sevens)
(Pre 38%, Flop 18%, Turn 25%)
Hero shows 9
A
A
Q
: (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Pre 62%, Flop 82%, Turn 75%)
CO wins $421.00
10.
GG Poker - $2 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $177.08 (88.5 bb)
SB: $580.74 (290.4 bb)
Hero (BB): $209.00 (104.5 bb)
UTG: $200.21 (100.1 bb)
MP: $103.35 (51.7 bb)
CO: $206.00 (103 bb)
SB posts $1.00, Hero posts BB $2.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $3.00) Hero has Q
7
6
T
fold, MP raises to $7.00, 3 folds, Hero raises to $22.00, MP calls $15.00
Flop: ($45.00, 2 players) 8
4
J
Hero checks, MP bets $14.85, Hero calls $14.85
Turn: ($74.70, 2 players) 2
Hero checks, MP checks
River: ($74.70, 2 players) 5
Hero checks, MP bets $37.35, Hero calls $37.35
Results: $149.40 pot ($6.00 rake)
Final Board: 8
4
J
2
5
MP shows 3
T
Q
Q
: (Flush, Queen High)
(Pre 65%, Flop 95%, Turn 98%)
Hero shows Q
7
6
T
: (Flush, Jack High)
(Pre 35%, Flop 5%, Turn 3%)
MP wins $140.40
11.
GG Poker - $2 PL Hi (7 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BB: $402.00 (201 bb)
UTG: $200.00 (100 bb)
MP: $87.78 (43.9 bb)
CO: $331.82 (165.9 bb)
BTN: $236.55 (118.3 bb)
Hero (SB): $200.00 (100 bb)
Hero posts SB $1.00, BB posts $2.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $3.00) Hero has K
A
A
6
2 folds, CO raises to $7.00, fold, Hero raises to $23.00, fold, CO calls $16.00
Flop: ($48.00, 2 players) 4
J
4
Hero bets $15.84, CO calls $15.84
Turn: ($79.68, 2 players) 2
Hero bets $26.30, CO calls $26.30
River: ($132.28, 2 players) 6
Hero checks, CO bets $121.00, Hero calls $121.00
Results: $374.28 pot ($4.00 rake)
Final Board: 4
J
4
2
6
CO shows A
2
2
K
: (Full House, Twos full of Fours)
(Pre 30%, Flop 11%, Turn 93%)
Hero shows K
A
A
6
: (Two Pair, Aces and Fours)
(Pre 70%, Flop 89%, Turn 8%)
CO wins $368.28
12.
GG Poker - $2 PL Hi (7 max) - Omaha Hi - 7 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $295.09 (147.5 bb)
SB: $216.20 (108.1 bb)
Hero (BB): $506.25 (253.1 bb)
UTG: $200.00 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $252.56 (126.3 bb)
MP: $206.25 (103.1 bb)
CO: $204.25 (102.1 bb)
SB posts $1.00, Hero posts BB $2.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $3.00) Hero has 4
3
T
9
4 folds, BTN raises to $7.00, fold, Hero calls $5.00
Flop: ($15.00, 2 players) 6
J
7
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($15.00, 2 players) 5
Hero bets $7.50, BTN raises to $30.00, Hero calls $22.50
River: ($75.00, 2 players) 3
Hero checks, BTN bets $56.25, Hero calls $56.25
Results: $187.50 pot ($4.00 rake)
Final Board: 6
J
7
5
3
BTN shows 9
K
8
9
: (Straight, Nine High)
(Pre 62%, Flop 52%, Turn 73%)
Hero shows 4
3
T
9
: (Straight, Seven High)
(Pre 38%, Flop 48%, Turn 28%)
BTN wins $181.50
IP hands (river call filter, same as 2nd graph):
1.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
Hero (BTN): $119.96 (120 bb)
SB: $117.83 (117.8 bb)
BB: $88.05 (88.1 bb)
UTG: $100.00 (100 bb)
MP: $113.60 (113.6 bb)
CO: $121.85 (121.9 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has A
7
9
6
2 folds, CO raises to $2.00, Hero calls $2.00, SB calls $1.50, BB calls $1.00
Flop: ($8.00, 4 players) 7
4
8
SB checks, BB checks, CO bets $6.00, Hero calls $6.00, 2 folds
Turn: ($20.00, 2 players) A
CO bets $20.00, Hero calls $20.00
River: ($60.00, 2 players) Q
CO bets $45.00, Hero calls $45.00
Results: $150.00 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 7
4
8
A
Q
CO shows 5
4
6
3
: (Straight, Eight High)
(Pre 41%, Flop 65%, Turn 73%)
Hero shows A
7
9
6
: (Two Pair, Aces and Sevens)
(Pre 59%, Flop 35%, Turn 28%)
CO wins $145.50
2.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $101.97 (102 bb)
SB: $124.15 (124.2 bb)
BB: $256.92 (256.9 bb)
UTG: $126.20 (126.2 bb)
Hero (MP): $104.70 (104.7 bb)
CO: $95.90 (95.9 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has T
Q
5
K
fold, Hero raises to $3.50, 3 folds, BB calls $2.50
Flop: ($7.50, 2 players) 7
3
K
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($7.50, 2 players) T
BB bets $5.63, Hero raises to $21.00, BB calls $15.37
River: ($49.50, 2 players) 9
BB bets $36.63, Hero calls $36.63
Results: $122.76 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 7
3
K
T
9
BB shows J
5
8
9
: (Straight, Jack High)
(Pre 46%, Flop 14%, Turn 45%)
Hero shows T
Q
5
K
: (Two Pair, Kings and Tens)
(Pre 54%, Flop 86%, Turn 55%)
BB wins $118.26
3.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
Hero (BTN): $200.34 (200.3 bb)
SB: $177.51 (177.5 bb)
BB: $100.00 (100 bb)
UTG: $101.16 (101.2 bb)
MP: $55.59 (55.6 bb)
CO: $224.92 (224.9 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 4
K
T
3
3 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, fold, BB raises to $11.00, Hero calls $7.50
Flop: ($22.50, 2 players) 3
9
2
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($22.50, 2 players) Q
BB bets $11.25, Hero calls $11.25
River: ($45.00, 2 players) 8
BB bets $33.75, Hero calls $33.75
Results: $112.50 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 3
9
2
Q
8
BB shows J
A
8
J
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 58%, Flop 60%, Turn 80%)
Hero shows 4
K
T
3
: (Flush, Queen High)
(Pre 42%, Flop 40%, Turn 20%)
BB wins $108.00
4.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
Hero (BTN): $188.00 (188 bb)
SB: $464.93 (464.9 bb)
BB: $51.00 (51 bb)
UTG: $155.64 (155.6 bb)
MP: $172.19 (172.2 bb)
CO: $182.50 (182.5 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 6
A
5
Q
2 folds, CO calls $1.00, Hero raises to $3.63, fold, BB raises to $12.39, fold, Hero calls $8.76
Flop: ($26.28, 2 players) 7
9
8
BB bets $6.00, Hero calls $6.00
Turn: ($38.28, 2 players) Q
BB checks, Hero checks
River: ($38.28, 2 players) 3
BB bets $32.61 and is all-in, Hero calls $32.61
Results: $103.50 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 7
9
8
Q
3
BB shows A
5
A
4
: (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 68%, Flop 2%, Turn 0%)
Hero shows 6
A
5
Q
: (Straight, Nine High)
(Pre 32%, Flop 98%, Turn 100%)
Hero wins $99.00
5.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
Hero (BTN): $114.97 (115 bb)
SB: $148.54 (148.5 bb)
BB: $44.00 (44 bb)
UTG: $102.90 (102.9 bb)
MP: $1,016.28 (1016.3 bb)
CO: $119.92 (119.9 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 4
Q
K
6
3 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, fold, BB calls $2.50
Flop: ($7.50, 2 players) 3
5
9
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($7.50, 2 players) A
BB bets $7.50, Hero calls $7.50
River: ($22.50, 2 players) 2
BB bets $22.50, Hero calls $22.50
Results: $67.50 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 3
5
9
A
2
BB shows Q
6
K
J
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 49%, Flop 53%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows 4
Q
K
6
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 51%, Flop 47%, Turn 0%)
BB wins $63.00
6.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $118.03 (118 bb)
SB: $219.81 (219.8 bb)
BB: $87.00 (87 bb)
UTG: $151.78 (151.8 bb)
MP: $97.05 (97.1 bb)
Hero (CO): $173.85 (173.9 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has T
A
A
J
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, fold, SB calls $3.00, fold
Flop: ($8.00, 2 players) Q
9
K
SB bets $2.64, Hero raises to $10.00, SB calls $7.36
Turn: ($28.00, 2 players) K
SB checks, Hero checks
River: ($28.00, 2 players) 3
SB bets $28.00, Hero calls $28.00
Results: $84.00 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: Q
9
K
K
3
SB shows 6
4
3
9
: (Two Pair, Kings and Nines)
(Pre 31%, Flop 3%, Turn 0%)
Hero shows T
A
A
J
: (Straight, King High)
(Pre 69%, Flop 97%, Turn 100%)
Hero wins $79.50
7.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $109.28 (109.3 bb)
SB: $217.16 (217.2 bb)
BB: $90.39 (90.4 bb)
UTG: $141.77 (141.8 bb)
MP: $124.56 (124.6 bb)
Hero (CO): $191.61 (191.6 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 8
J
4
A
fold, MP raises to $2.00, Hero raises to $7.50, 3 folds, MP calls $5.50
Flop: ($16.50, 2 players) J
5
8
MP checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($16.50, 2 players) K
MP bets $12.38, Hero calls $12.38
River: ($41.26, 2 players) 9
MP bets $30.95, Hero calls $30.95
Results: $103.16 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: J
5
8
K
9
MP shows A
K
4
K
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 64%, Flop 49%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows 8
J
4
A
: (Flush, Jack High)
(Pre 36%, Flop 51%, Turn 0%)
MP wins $98.66
8.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $155.26 (155.3 bb)
SB: $153.42 (153.4 bb)
BB: $118.56 (118.6 bb)
Hero (UTG): $225.06 (225.1 bb)
MP: $111.03 (111 bb)
CO: $212.55 (212.6 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has T
8
9
8
Hero raises to $3.50, 3 folds, SB calls $3.00, fold
Flop: ($8.00, 2 players) 2
2
J
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($8.00, 2 players) 8
SB bets $8.00, Hero calls $8.00
River: ($24.00, 2 players) 2
SB bets $24.00, Hero calls $24.00
Results: $72.00 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 2
2
J
8
2
SB shows 6
A
T
A
: (Full House, Twos full of Aces)
(Pre 66%, Flop 86%, Turn 5%)
Hero shows T
8
9
8
: (Full House, Eights full of Twos)
(Pre 34%, Flop 14%, Turn 95%)
Hero wins $67.50
9.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
Hero (BTN): $157.76 (157.8 bb)
SB: $112.20 (112.2 bb)
BB: $62.79 (62.8 bb)
UTG: $100.00 (100 bb)
MP: $42.53 (42.5 bb)
CO: $100.00 (100 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 9
A
5
A
UTG raises to $3.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $12.00, 2 folds, UTG calls $8.50
Flop: ($25.50, 2 players) 6
7
J
UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($25.50, 2 players) 8
UTG bets $19.13, Hero calls $19.13
River: ($63.76, 2 players) 3
UTG bets $31.88, Hero calls $31.88
Results: $127.52 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 6
7
J
8
3
UTG shows Q
Q
A
J
: (One Pair, Queens)
(Pre 32%, Flop 18%, Turn 0%)
Hero shows 9
A
5
A
: (Straight, Nine High)
(Pre 68%, Flop 82%, Turn 100%)
Hero wins $123.02
10.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $235.41 (235.4 bb)
SB: $112.39 (112.4 bb)
BB: $210.37 (210.4 bb)
UTG: $145.94 (145.9 bb)
MP: $187.48 (187.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $100.00 (100 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has K
4
5
7
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, BTN calls $3.50, SB calls $3.00, fold
Flop: ($11.50, 3 players) 2
3
9
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($11.50, 3 players) 6
SB checks, Hero bets $5.75, BTN calls $5.75, SB calls $5.75
River: ($28.75, 3 players) 5
SB bets $21.57, Hero calls $21.57, fold
Results: $71.89 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 2
3
9
6
5
SB shows 9
7
A
8
: (Straight, Nine High)
(Pre 55%, Flop 56%, Turn 18%)
Hero shows K
4
5
7
: (Straight, Seven High)
(Pre 45%, Flop 44%, Turn 83%)
SB wins $67.39
11.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $18.18 (18.2 bb)
SB: $176.01 (176 bb)
BB: $33.41 (33.4 bb)
UTG: $166.56 (166.6 bb)
MP: $162.94 (162.9 bb)
Hero (CO): $155.55 (155.6 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has Q
J
J
3
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, BTN calls $3.50, SB calls $3.00, fold
Flop: ($11.50, 3 players) 8
T
A
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($11.50, 3 players) 4
SB bets $5.75, Hero calls $5.75, fold
River: ($23.00, 2 players) 7
SB bets $23.00, Hero calls $23.00
Results: $69.00 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 8
T
A
4
7
SB shows 3
K
Q
K
: (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 68%, Flop 3%, Turn 0%)
Hero shows Q
J
J
3
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 32%, Flop 97%, Turn 100%)
Hero wins $64.50
12.
GG Poker - $1 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
BTN: $100.00 (100 bb)
SB: $96.48 (96.5 bb)
BB: $62.43 (62.4 bb)
UTG: $100.00 (100 bb)
MP: $162.09 (162.1 bb)
Hero (CO): $105.27 (105.3 bb)
SB posts $0.50, BB posts $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has J
Q
J
A
UTG raises to $3.50, fold, Hero raises to $12.00, 3 folds, UTG calls $8.50
Flop: ($25.50, 2 players) 6
2
T
UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($25.50, 2 players) 5
UTG checks, Hero checks
River: ($25.50, 2 players) A
UTG bets $25.50, Hero calls $25.50
Results: $76.50 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 6
2
T
5
A
UTG shows A
3
4
8
: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 38%, Flop 49%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows J
Q
J
A
: (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 62%, Flop 51%, Turn 0%)
UTG wins $72.00
One, the results are not very informative since the sample is small. If the expectation is zero, then variance will dominate the results.
FWIW when I filtered for these same spots over my whole current database (about 4x compared to the sample used in the OP), the graphs looked the same overall.