NCAA Football 2025
NCAA Football 2025
8
zs

NCAA Football 2025

Not sure who will win this year, hopefully Arch goes nuts and UT can kick the door in after making the quarterfinals the

01 August 2025 at 08:52 PM
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3451 Replies

8
zs


Lol SMU.

So it's UVA/Dook for the ACCCG. That means UVA is basically win-and-in since they'll be the 4th highest Conf. champ, but if Duke wins, JMU and the AAC winner should both be ranked higher.

Does that seem right?


you're welcome


Smoo coach joins Saban & Harbaugh in the β€œlets trust the freshman kicker in a huge game” club.

Sagapo the first Cal student to publicly PTL on campus in decades, hope didn’t trigger anybody.


by CowboyCold m

Guess GoldenBears and I are the only ones watching SMU @ CAL?

Edit: Just a bit outside

My mom went to Cal. β€οΈπŸ™πŸ˜‡πŸ˜­


I flicked in 500 on it but sadly couldn't get more. You take what you can get.


Smoo loss possibly worse than psu to ucla?

Not spamming was just googling the line

Spoiler
Show


I have no idea what this means but it sounds fun.


by TheGramuel m

1 OSU
2 Indiana
3 Georgia (?)
4 Texas Tech
5 Oregon
6 aTm
7 Ole Miss
8 Oklahoma
9 Alabama
10 ND
11 JMU
12 UNT

Maybe?

FYP. C'mon Dook. Let us have a mess


by FellaGaga-52 m

Meanwhile UK, after a bit of a mid season resurgence, has 64 total yards at half down 20-0 to Louisville, after trailing 45-3 at Vandy last week. That was their bowl push.

Well surely the second half was better...

It's a brutal loss when the post-game host calls for the coach's head

It is an absolutely catastrophic loss when the post-game host calls for the coach's head and AD's head.


by GoldenBears m

you're welcome

How the hell does anyone ever take a single dollar of your action lol


First time in history we are all rooting for Dook?


by TheGramuel m

How the hell does anyone ever take a single dollar of your action lol

They don't. I've been banned by every sportsbook a million times over.

Thank god for the rise of Kalshi/Novig/Polymarket, I can actually get some $ down this year.


Also, speaking of action, I have 5 of the remaining 49 entries in the $18 million Circa NFL survivor pool.

So, might be a little bit lax on CFB this week


by GoldenBears m

Thank god for the rise of Kalshi/Novig/Polymarket, I can actually get some $ down this year.

what is the vig like on those sites

Draft Kings / BetMGM like, or better odds like we see on Pinny?


Good luck in survivor


by GoldenBears m

you're welcome

Thanks! Had no idea, just assumed Duke +10000 was there to steal from Duke fans.


by GoldenBears m

Also, speaking of action, I have 5 of the remaining 49 entries in the $18 million Circa NFL survivor pool.

So, might be a little bit lax on CFB this week

?



by ligastar m

what is the vig like on those sites

Draft Kings / BetMGM like, or better odds like we see on Pinny?

they're exchanges

on liquid stuff, the vig on novig is basically zero or even slightly negative if you're willing to work limit orders a bit

kalshi the fees for crossing the spread are pretty exorbitant, and they only have whole number spreads (buy at 45% sell at 44% or something).

The fees scale with the price thougb, so they're highest at 50/50 and negligable at 99/1. If you rest limits you're going to do way better than on any sportsbook, buti it's not zero

the main advantage though, is that you don't get banned the instant you place a bet they don't like.


no clue what miami's odds are right now. tough run for them, just chalk on top of chalk

I guess either:
- Tech nukes BYU
- UGA beats Bama like 35-10 or something

would Miami jump 2 teams that lost their CCGs? I just have a hard time seeing it

Perhaps more likely:
- Tech nukes BYU
- Bama beats UGA like 24-17 and jumps ND

So Miami jumps BYU, and Alabama jumps ND, and UGA doesn't fall past ND. So ND falls to 10, Miami rises to 11, surely the definition of h2h as a tiebreaker if the teams are close must get invoked if they are literally adjacent for the last bid?

ND beat Pitt 37-15, Miami beat them 38-7
ND beat Stanford 49-20, Miami beat them 42-7
ND beat NC State 36-7, Miami beat them 41-7
ND beat Cuse 70-7, Miami beat them 38-10

So among mutually played opponents, all 8 games were blowouts, but Miami won by more in 3 of 4

ND's other wins are:
USC
@ Arkansas
Boise
Navy
Purdue
@ BC

Miami's other wins are:
ND
USF
Florida
@ FSU
@ VT
Bethune

So, Miami has the best win and also has overall better wins.

Miami's lost two one score games, ND lost two one score games to much better opponents

So, edge ND there

If Miami had beaten UGA instead of ND and ND had lost to Bama instead of Miami, you'd say these two profiles are neck and neck.

But instead they are neck and neck and Miami has h2h. You gotta give it to them, I think


do not dabble at all in your particular financial markets but sure do enjoy reading results of intelligent data analysis


by GoldenBears m

they're exchangeson liquid stuff, the vig on novig is basically zero or even slightly negative if you're willing to work limit orders a bitkalshi the fees for crossing the spread are pretty exorbitant, and they only have whole number spreads (buy at 45% sell at 44% or something). The fees scale with the price thougb, so they're highest at 50/50 and negligable at 99/1. If you re

thank you for explaining that all to me/us

πŸ‘


Is Sumrall a good choice for Florida?

I'll accept being slightly better than Napier as a good choice.


I know the real answer is "nothing" but im curious to see what the committee does with Ole Miss now that they've lost half their coaching staff. Yeah it isnt the same as losing a star player so we aren't in FSU territory, but still


by newguyhere m

Is Sumrall a good choice for Florida?

I'll accept being slightly better than Napier as a good choice.

The AD thinks he’s in the same class as Urby, some FCS guy, and Kid Killer!



The damnedest thing about the Sumrall hire is UK fans big time wanted him. You can find former posts from me saying he was the guy for UK to hire after Stoops.

UK fans saw him as a young former player and assistant coach winning at the G5 level. Given his connections at UK I thought if it worked he would have been the long term solution.

UK fans are mad they didn't get Sumrall, Florida fans are mad they see Sumrall as Napier 2.0

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