2024 Fantasy Football Thread

2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Welcome to the 2024 fantasy season, where I'm officially addicted to best ball. I've been drafting since the end of Jan

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25 April 2024 at 04:46 PM
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by jimmymcgill8 k

I think i take Rashee right before Ladd if im guaranteed healthy for training camp and no suspension, is that right?

I think higher. Using the top 24 I posted a few days ago, I think at the least I'd put him right behind Bowers. I'd be willing to listen to arguments ahead of Jeanty. I still think I take all of the receivers ARSB+ ahead of him.

Chase
Saquon
Bijan
Gibbs
JJ
CD
Puka
BTJ
Nico
Nabers
ARSB
Jeanty
CMC
Bowers
London
Ladd
AJB
Henry
Bucky
Reek
JSN
McBride
Tee
Achane
Jacobs


I think Rices volume won’t be as large as it was pre injury .


Why do you think that? I think Rice and Worthy are likely to dust everyone else in this offense. And Rice is going to be the high volume guy of the 2.

Rice has a tremendous profile. Relatively high draft capital, crushed down the stretch of his rookie season, and looked like a top 5-10 guy to start year 2.


by tarheels2222 k

Why do you think that? I think Rice and Worthy are likely to dust everyone else in this offense. And Rice is going to be the high volume guy of the 2.

Rice has a tremendous profile. Relatively high draft capital, crushed down the stretch of his rookie season, and looked like a top 5-10 guy to start year 2.

Was thinking Worthy would steal some of that volume . I think Rice will be good but more like early round 3 good .


It's possible it's more 50/50, but even if so, I think both could be 25%+ target share guys. I'd lean more towards Rice approaching 30% while Worthy is 20-22%.

I'm not sure they want Worthy to be high volume. He only had 2 games with more than 10 targets, and that was with all of the turmoil plus Kelce's continued decline. Even when he went off when they were trying to comeback in the SB, he only had 8 targets, which was exactly 25% of Mahomes's attempts.

But he could certainly make a leap in year 2. Even if Rice was an early to mid 2nd round pick, I'd still take Worthy where he is going. He's also a great profile bet. Basically, I want both at whatever it cost me haha.


Did you guys not see my list? Fade Rice hahaha

I do see the argument for him though. I think I'm around 13% and will no doubt get more once I add him back into my pool.


The Chiefs will probably just play us all again lol.


They better not. +12% on all the main guys minus the RBs


Idk how to feel about this one… wr room is meh, should I be fading Kelce on Rice teams or is the correlation still valuable

Allen, Stroud

Jeanty, CMC, Kaleb, Braelon, Ty Johnson

Rashee, Deebo, Jeudy, Downs, Kirk, Tillman, Wicks, Palmer, K Williams, Savion

Kelce, Kincaid, Fannin


I'm just glad you didn't get Kraft instead of Fannin.


Haha why?


by jimmymcgill8 k

should I be fading Kelce on Rice teams or is the correlation still valuable

It’s probably fine on some, but I wouldn’t want to do it more than 10-20%.

I’ve done a couple of Rice/Worthy at the 3/4. But that’s obviously a different bet.


by newguyhere k

Thanks. That's kind of what I thought. Still debating on if I'd actually do it or not.

Well I did it, by mistake. I forgot I joined a draft because it was taking so long to fill, and missed the first 5 rounds. I probably would've gone Godwin over Kittle.

Maybe it looks a little better if practically every single pass catcher for BUF and BAL, except Bateman, didn't get sniped.

Josh, Lamar

Pollard, Mason, Ford, Dowdle, Neal, Gordon, B. Smith

Chase, Jamo, Jeudy, Meyers, Hunter, Bateman, Ayomanor, Samuel

Kittle, Kmet, Fannin


Think this is the least rookies I’ve drafted in the big board. Wish qb didn’t fall apart here bc I liked the start

Mahomes, Penix, Shaddeur

CMC, Mixon, Javonte, Allgeier, Braelon, Chubb

Nico, Worthy, Rice, Jeudy, Hunter, J Higgins, Mwill, Ray-Ray Mcloud

Warren, Njoku, Strange


Followed it up with even fewer rookies (not on purpose)

Herbert, Stafford, Rodgers

Kyren, Hampton, Allgeier, Martinez, Chubb, Kendre

Puka, AJB, Jeudy, Pickens, Kupp, Shaheed, Keenan, QJ

Kittle, Strange, Higbee


One of my more stacked WR rooms. Hopefully RB can work out.

Mahomes, Fields

Judkins, Pollard, Mason, Bigsby, Dowdle, Allgeier, Mitchell

ARSB, Ladd, Wilson, Worthy, Sutton, Wicks, Lazard, M. Wilson

Pitts, Gesicki, Gray


Here's a newguy style scenario.

Breece, Omarion, Walker, Jones

Nico, Addison, Kupp

Bowers

Nix falls to pick 106. Mims and Engram are both on the board. I take Nix knowing that I'm very likely to get 1. Both are there are 111. Do you take Mims or Engram?

Spoiler
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I took Engram to lock in two strong TEs, even though I can lean into Bowers. I'm also not the biggest Mims fan. I also know I can add Franklin later. I'll stop 5 at RBs. I may stop at 2 QBs but can push to 3 if I need to. Worst case, I can build 3-5-10-2 and possibly 2-5-11-2. I'll probably regret punting WR so hard lol.

Rare for me to build it like this, but I like to experiment when the room allows.


I think there's a decent drop off at WR after Mims for a while that I'd probably just take him. Assuming you're going to use pick 130 or 135 on JJ.


by tarheels2222 k

Here's a newguy style scenario.

Breece, Omarion, Walker, Jones

Nico, Addison, Kupp

Bowers

Nix falls to pick 106. Mims and Engram are both on the board. I take Nix knowing that I'm very likely to get 1. Both are there are 111. Do you take Mims or Engram?

I’m engram over Mims in a vacuum, but Mims in this particular build


Other than getting sniped on Kmet, I think this went pretty well. Odunze is on my fade list, but I made the executive decision to stack him with Moore.

Caleb, Dak

JT, Henderson, ETN, Charb, Dowdle, Neal

CD, Wilson, DJM, Odunze, Meyers, Johnston, Tolbert, Ayomanor, Malik

Pitts, Juwan, Fannin


by newguyhere k

I think there's a decent drop off at WR after Mims for a while that I'd probably just take him. Assuming you're going to use pick 130 or 135 on JJ.

Yeah, I think I'll probably have to pass on QB at 130/135 for two WRs. But JJ or Stroud could be in play. If not, I'll have Darnold and Geno, plus other stacking options, depending on how the rest of things go. I was a big Mims hater last offseason, and I still don't feel good about him, especially at this higher price.

by jimmymcgill8 k

I’m engram over Mims in a vacuum, but Mims in this particular build

Yeah, that's my problem haha. I fully intended to take Mims, then when the decision point happened, I picked Engram instead.


Caleb, AR, Dimes

Quinson, Monty, Mason, Dowdle, Gordon, Shipley

JJ, Ladd, DJM, Godwin, Aiyuk, Keenan, Tre, Adonai

Kittle, Kmet, Fannin

Aiyuk at 93 and Tre at 148 meant weak QB2/3. I really like the rest of the team, though.


How do you decide when it’s worth it to take AR/Dimes together since it guarantees a max of 19 players and 2 QBs?

I struggle to figure out when the right time for that is


This time was desperation lol.

In 20 rounds, I think it's best with an elite QB, and Caleb could be elite, but I don't like it in something like Love, AR, Dimes or Herbert, AR, Dimes.

Regardless, in the range they're both going, there are plenty enough zeros I think it's okay to justify it from time to time when you get locked out.

I doubt I'll do it once in the 18 round contests. Although, it might be more reasonable to do something like Herbert, AR, Dimes in 18 rounds, or even lower in something like Trevor, AR, Dimes. Still, probably not great with 2 less roster spots.


An RB/RB/RB start and 4 TEs. It's a weird one, but I kind of like it. It'll all depend on the WRs. Probably not strong enough.

Maye, Stroud, Ward

Saquon, JT, Bucky, Dobbins (28 past ADP), Kendre

Rome, Olave, Ridley, Golden, Kirk, McMillan, Tre, Badger

Henry, Schultz, Fannin, Chig

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