2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Yeah, I've been drafting him more as he's been falling. I hated in him where he started, even assuming he was back in NE.

Just another reason I've been fading JJ. The RB/RB start at the 1/2 turn is hard to pass up with the WRs available at 3/4 and 5/6.

Pretty content with my exposures right now

DK

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UD (not as happy with the 21% pat bryant lol)

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JJ is more of a DK play for me. Also, it's been tough to even get him at 1.12 now that he's going earlier.

The people can have JJ. The higher the better for me. That said, I'll probably end up 4%ing him post-draft when it's all said and done. I haven't decided yet. Happy to keep riding my fade pre-draft, especially with the price rise. Maybe there will be one Puppy where I draft him hard and let that fall where it falls. Or maybe something like the $3 on DK.

Everyone loves to point to Nuk's 2020 season as evidence Kyler can support a #1. Even that season, Nuk only averaged 14.6 half PPR points per game. He had 4 games over 20 points, with the best a 24.5. Plus, Kyler is a different player now and the league is different.

WRs really have to separate in half PPR best ball to be worth the 1st or 2nd round price. If not, you can find 15-20 point weeks all over the draft elsewhere.

Trying to understand how I’m being ripped off in a dynasty start up

12x10 FFPC style rules (cut down to 16 players at end of season). Ppr, sf, 1.5tep

Being offered
1.06

For my
3.04 + 27 1st

On paper I feel like I am winning, but I have a feeling that I’m losing and I just don’t have enough dynasty experience to understand how

Anyone able to explain

They must be really bullish on the 2027 class, which a lot of the fantasy community is.

If you say the rookie draft first round of a rookie class ranges from early 2nd to maybe like the 7th-8th round in a startup, they're just gambling they can close the gap on where your 27 1st lands.

3.04 + something like 7.04 for the 1.06 is a loss. But 3.04 plus something like 2.05 for the 1.06 is probably a win, especially with the SF and 1.5TEP.

I'm not sure if cutting down to 16 makes your side or his side better. I would say your side in a vacuum, since you're guaranteed a top 6 asset out of the deal. I guess if he ends up with two top 25 assets out of it, then probably his side. If he ends up with a late first and has to drop the guy after a season or two because he didn't pan out, then it's better for you.

You play a lot of leagues with weird settings haha. It's really tough to figure out value.

Haha yeah I like learning new formats, the problem is I always make a really dumb mistake that was obvious in hindsight/w experience

Yeah, it's easy to do that, especially as you're learning the settings. And mistakes can last years in dynasty. You should see the things I did in the first few seasons of my first dynasty league lol.

Another option I just thought of for Miami is Jauan Jennings. That would be interesting. Pretty safe to say he's not going back to SF at this point.

Jennings could be nice. It'll be interesting to see which WR(s) they draft.

2 picks in the 1st round. One of them will be a WR. Do they take one at 11? Can't ignore that they need help on defense.

With Achane being traded being more live now. Where could he go that would be a good fit?

Washington seems good, Seattle seems really good

Both would be fun.

It’s a shame the Chargers drafted Omarion last year. Can you imagine?

You're getting a slam dunk proven player with that 1.06. Pretty much whoever that is at the 1.06 would most likely be the 2027 1.01 and no matter the draft profile it's easy to whiff in rookie drafts. Hard to pass that up.

Yeah, their problem is they have holes basically everywhere. This should be a BPA draft.

I'm pretty sure that's what the GM said their plan was.

If you're Washington and Miami offers you Achane and the 11th for your 7th.

You say?

Miami should absolutely not trade Achane to move up 4 spots, would imagine Washington snap accepts that

I've just been hearing Tate would be a good fit for them, but he probably doesn't make it to 11.

I don’t think there’s much differentiation between Tate, Tyson, and Lemon (obviously there will be once they play, but from a predictability standpoint I don’t see much) Feels like Miami would be better off getting picks for Achane, not trading up

Me vs Sack

Me

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Sackreligious

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If the sims are right, then I’m never going to win.

haha me neither.

I've been thinking about how I approach my exposures, and I'm going with a bell curve approach this season.

ADP 1-119: 15%-20%

ADP 120-199: 25%-30%

ADP 200+: 15%-20%

This team was pretty fun. Maybe should’ve gone 3593 though

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I have a SF dynasty hottish take…

Taking Drake Maye t3 is really bad even though he’s ranked 1.01

Gut feeling he should be a late 1st, early 2nd guy

I think he's probably the worst 1.01 in a while, but I also think the price is justified. I wouldn't rank him any lower than mid-first.

You're paying for more than just fantasy upside. If I had to pick 1 QB who I think would play the most seasons from today, it'd be Maye. All of the other top QBs are aging in Allen, Burrow, Lamar, and Mahomes. Each will be at least 30 by this time next year. Hurts showed diminished fantasy upside last year, plus just doesn't feel as secure.

Then you're debating whether you should take RBs or WRs ahead of Maye, all of which are multiple years into their career now.

Drake might never see his true fantasy ceiling due to coaching and lack of true rushing ceiling without designed runs and goal line work, but I think he's the safest asset while still having high weekly and season ceiling. I'd maybe listen to arguments for Jayden, but he's 2 years older and I don't think his has near the job security of Maye. But I'd argue he does have more upside weekly and season upside scoring than Maye.