1/3 Squeeze spot bluff catching river

1/3 Squeeze spot bluff catching river

HJ (500) MAWG loose player playing too many hands via both raises and limps
CO (100) MAWG tight passive
Main Villain: B (335) MAWG playing 50-75% of hands pretty passive with more limps and calls than HJ but has 3bet small with AK since I've been at the table an hour

SB (covers) Hero Young White guy should have solid TAG image haven't played many hands and am only coming in for raises unlike almost everyone else at the table

HJ opens to 15 Cutoff, Button call

Hero has TsTc and makes it 100 only the button calls

Flop (230): Ks Jc 8s

x x

Turn (230): 6h

About 5 seconds after the turn while I am still thinking he checks out of turn. I clarify that I haven't acted yet and then I check and he checks behind again

x x

River (230): Jd

I check and he goes all in for about pot

After thinking for like 20 seconds I ask him if he's bluffing and he says he'll show me

How would you use the information of his check out of turn? Does that influence our river decision?

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30 December 2024 at 07:51 PM
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Think I'm fine with preflop. It is a loose LP open, our 3bet sizing targets the CO's stack, as well as sets up a PSB shove against the Button. I don't think calling and taking the low variance ~setmining route is horrendous either.

Pretty craptastic flop and OOP. Even with an SPR of 1 I think I'm ok with checking to probably fold.

I don't read too much into the out-of-turn check back unless he has a history of angling. So with this extra piece of information I would probably shove the turn; it is highly unlikely he is checking back this very drawy board twice with anything that beats us, and our hand is vulnerable and needs protection.

As played, river is dependent on how bluffy versus stationish he is. Against bluffers, I'm fine with a check/call. Against stations I'd shove myself.

GcluelessNLnoobG

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